NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE

Charlotte Motor Speedway — October 10, 2015

Joey Logano
Winner
334
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 10, 2015, leading 227 of 334 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 10, 2015
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Joey Logano
2 11 +9 Kevin Harvick
3 15 +12 Martin Truex, Jr.
4 5 +1 Denny Hamlin
5 6 +1 Kurt Busch
6 8 +2 Carl Edwards
7 14 +7 Austin Dillon
8 22 +14 Jeff Gordon
9 13 +4 Brad Keselowski
10 9 -1 Aric Almirola
11 23 +12 Clint Bowyer
12 30 +18 Jamie McMurray
13 25 +12 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
14 16 +2 Ryan Blaney
15 10 -5 Ryan Newman
16 17 +1 A.J. Allmendinger
17 18 +1 Sam Hornish Jr.
18 21 +3 Casey Mears
19 24 +5 Danica Patrick
20 2 -18 Kyle Busch
21 31 +10 Kyle Larson
22 33 +11 Trevor Bayne
23 34 +11 Landon Cassill
24 4 -20 Greg Biffle
25 38 +13 Michael Annett
26 36 +10 Tony Stewart
27 29 +2 David Gilliland
28 12 -16 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
29 40 +11 Matt DiBenedetto
30 37 +7 Brett Moffitt
31 32 +1 Michael McDowell
32 27 -5 Alex Bowman
33 35 +2 J.J. Yeley
34 43 +9 Alex Kennedy
35 42 +7 Reed Sorenson
36 26 -10 Paul Menard
37 19 -18 David Ragan
38 39 +1 Cole Whitt
39 7 -32 Jimmie Johnson
40 28 -12 Justin Allgaier
41 41 Jeb Burton
42 1 -41 Matt Kenseth
43 20 -23 Kasey Kahne
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 14.7 1 +13.7
3 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 3 +12.4
4 Denny Hamlin 8.2 4 +4.2
7 Austin Dillon 17.1 7 +10.1
9 Brad Keselowski 11.2 9 +2.2
13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 13 +6.9
14 Ryan Blaney 9.2 14 -4.8
16 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 16 +2.3
18 Casey Mears 16.9 18 -1.1
20 Kyle Busch 17.0 20 -3.0
21 Kyle Larson 12.7 21 -8.3
31 Michael McDowell 17.0 31 -14.0
32 Alex Bowman 13.5 32 -18.5
33 J.J. Yeley 28.8 33 -4.2
39 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 39 -19.1
40 Justin Allgaier 18.3 40 -21.7

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 34 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Joey Logano won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 10, 2015.