NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY
Kansas Speedway — May 7, 2016
Kyle Busch
Winner
267
Laps
40
Entries
10
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY at Kansas Speedway on May 7, 2016, leading 69 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Kurt Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 26 | +24 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Kurt Busch |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Matt Kenseth |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 17 | +11 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 29 | +21 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Brad Keselowski |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Carl Edwards |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Tony Stewart |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 14 | 1 | -13 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Kasey Kahne |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Aric Almirola |
| 19 | 33 | +14 | Clint Bowyer |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Danica Patrick |
| 21 | 31 | +10 | Casey Mears |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Brian Scott |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Regan Smith |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Chris Buescher |
| 25 | 10 | -15 | Trevor Bayne |
| 26 | 21 | -5 | Jamie McMurray |
| 27 | 20 | -7 | Greg Biffle |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | David Ragan |
| 30 | 24 | -6 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 31 | 35 | +4 | Landon Cassill |
| 32 | 39 | +7 | Michael Annett |
| 33 | 40 | +7 | Reed Sorenson |
| 34 | 38 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 35 | 18 | -17 | Kyle Larson |
| 36 | 36 | — | Josh Wise |
| 37 | 3 | -34 | Denny Hamlin |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Joey Logano |
| 39 | 37 | -2 | Cole Whitt |
| 40 | 11 | -29 | Paul Menard |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 6 | +11.1 |
| 8 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 8 | +10.3 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 10 | +1.2 |
| 13 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 13 | +6.9 |
| 14 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 17 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 21 | -4.1 |
| 24 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 24 | -14.8 |
| 28 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 28 | -11.0 |
| 34 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 34 | -10.6 |
| 35 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 35 | -22.3 |
| 37 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 37 | -28.8 |
| 38 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 38 | -23.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 54 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY?
Kyle Busch won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY was held at Kansas Speedway on May 7, 2016.