NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT LAS VEGAS
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 6, 2016
Brad Keselowski
Winner
267
Laps
39
Entries
10
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 6, 2016, leading 24 of 267 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Jimmie Johnson rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 6, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 2 | — | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 4 | 23 | +19 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 5 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 6 | 14 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Kurt Busch |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Kasey Kahne |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Ryan Newman |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 15 | — | Paul Menard |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Jamie McMurray |
| 17 | 28 | +11 | Trevor Bayne |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Carl Edwards |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 20 | 26 | +6 | Greg Biffle |
| 21 | 18 | -3 | Danica Patrick |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Clint Bowyer |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Casey Mears |
| 24 | 7 | -17 | Aric Almirola |
| 25 | 33 | +8 | Regan Smith |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Chris Buescher |
| 27 | 32 | +5 | Brian Scott |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Landon Cassill |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Michael McDowell |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Michael Annett |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 32 | 31 | -1 | David Ragan |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 34 | 17 | -17 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | 39 | +4 | Josh Wise |
| 36 | 19 | -17 | Brian Vickers |
| 37 | 3 | -34 | Matt Kenseth |
| 38 | 13 | -25 | Chase Elliott |
| 39 | 36 | -3 | Cole Whitt |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2 | +12.7 |
| 3 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 3 | +16.9 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 5 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 5 | +12.1 |
| 6 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 11 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 19 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 19 | -10.8 |
| 23 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 23 | -6.1 |
| 26 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 26 | -16.8 |
| 29 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 29 | -12.0 |
| 34 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 34 | -21.3 |
| 38 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 38 | -30.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish, finishing P38 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 24 starts, 12.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT LAS VEGAS?
Brad Keselowski won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT LAS VEGAS held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT LAS VEGAS was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 6, 2016.