Consumers Energy 400
Michigan International Speedway — August 12, 2018
Kevin Harvick
Winner
264
Laps
40
Entries
9
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Consumers Energy 400 at Michigan International Speedway on August 12, 2018, leading 108 of 264 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 12, 2018
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Austin Dillon |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Kurt Busch |
| 7 | 29 | +22 | Aric Almirola |
| 8 | 19 | +11 | Denny Hamlin |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 10 | — | Joey Logano |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Erik Jones |
| 14 | 4 | -10 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Ryan Newman |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 5 | -12 | Kyle Larson |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Chris Buescher |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Jamie McMurray |
| 22 | — | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 23 | — | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 24 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 25 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 26 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 27 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 28 | 14 | -14 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 29 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | — | — | Trevor Bayne |
| 31 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 32 | — | — | Paul Menard |
| 33 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 34 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 35 | — | — | Kyle Weatherman |
| 36 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 37 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 38 | — | — | William Byron |
| 39 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 40 | — | — | Timmy Hill |
* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Kyle Larson | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 7 | — | 13 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | 6 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Busch | 9 | 5 | — | 8 |
| Kurt Busch | 7 | 8 | — | 7 |
| Chase Elliott | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Paul Menard | 10 | 10 | — | 2 |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie McMurray | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Trevor Bayne | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Weatherman | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 24 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 8 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 8 | +0.2 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 10 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 10 | +4.7 |
| 11 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 13 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 13 | +3.7 |
| 14 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 17 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 17 | -4.3 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 19 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 19 | -5.5 |
| 20 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 20 | -10.8 |
| 22 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 22 | -2.1 |
| 25 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 25 | -1.6 |
| 26 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 26 | -13.3 |
| 27 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 27 | -10.0 |
| 31 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 31 | -2.2 |
| 33 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 33 | -8.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 59 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 11.0 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 55 starts, 12.2 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Consumers Energy 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Consumers Energy 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2018 Consumers Energy 400 held?
The 2018 Consumers Energy 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 12, 2018.