NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE

New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 21, 2018

Christopher Bell
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders

Christopher Bell won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 21, 2018, leading 93 of 200 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Ryan Preece rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 21, 2018
Season
2018
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Christopher Bell
2 1 -1 Brad Keselowski
3 3 Ryan Preece
4 5 +1 John Hunter Nemechek
5 14 +9 Matt Tifft
6 8 +2 Brandon Jones
7 7 Justin Allgaier
8 10 +2 Elliott Sadler
9 4 -5 Cole Custer
10 11 +1 Austin Dillon
11 6 -5 Daniel Hemric
12 24 +12 Ryan Reed
13 13 Ryan Truex
14 16 +2 Kaz Grala
15 17 +2 Ryan Sieg
16 19 +3 Michael Annett
17 15 -2 Austin Cindric
18 18 Jeremy Clements
19 12 -7 Johnny Sauter
20 25 +5 Tommy Joe Martins
21 34 +13 Chad Finchum
22 22 Joey Gase
23 21 -2 Alex Labbe
24 29 +5 Spencer Boyd
25 9 -16 Tyler Reddick
26 20 -6 Ross Chastain
27 35 +8 Vinnie Miller
28 27 -1 David Starr
29 37 +8 Bayley Currey
30 40 +10 Angela Ruch
31 39 +8 Mike Harmon
32 28 -4 Garrett Smithley
33 30 -3 Donald Theetge
34 33 -1 Josh Bilicki
35 26 -9 B.J. McLeod
36 23 -13 J.J. Yeley
37 38 +1 Carl Long
38 32 -6 Timmy Hill
39 36 -3 Morgan Shepherd
40 31 -9 Jeff Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Christopher Bell 8.6 1 +7.6
2 Brad Keselowski 12.0 2 +10.0
3 Ryan Preece 10.8 3 +7.8
4 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 4 +16.1
7 Justin Allgaier 17.7 7 +10.7
9 Cole Custer 23.0 9 +14.0
10 Austin Dillon 17.0 10 +7.0
13 Ryan Truex 15.6 13 +2.6
17 Austin Cindric 17.0 17 0.0
21 Chad Finchum 22.1 21 +1.1
22 Joey Gase 22.0 22 0.0
25 Tyler Reddick 9.9 25 -15.1
26 Ross Chastain 13.8 26 -12.2
28 David Starr 20.2 28 -7.8
34 Josh Bilicki 29.4 34 -4.6
35 B.J. McLeod 25.6 35 -9.4
36 J.J. Yeley 28.1 36 -7.9
38 Timmy Hill 24.3 38 -13.7

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Christopher Bell: has 11 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 4.2 avg finish (7 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 9 starts, 13.6 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE?
Christopher Bell won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 21, 2018.