NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO
Pocono Raceway — June 2, 2018
Kyle Busch
Winner
100
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway on June 2, 2018, leading 64 of 100 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Austin Cindric |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Cole Custer |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Paul Menard |
| 9 | 9 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Ryan Truex |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Ross Chastain |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Shane Lee |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Ryan Reed |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Matt Tifft |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Kaz Grala |
| 17 | 17 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Alex Labbe |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 20 | 29 | +9 | David Starr |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | Josh Williams |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | B.J. McLeod |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Dylan Lupton |
| 24 | 6 | -18 | Brandon Jones |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 26 | 37 | +11 | Garrett Smithley |
| 27 | 31 | +4 | Matt Mills |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Spencer Boyd |
| 29 | 39 | +10 | Josh Bilicki |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Chad Finchum |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Vinnie Miller |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Brandon Hightower |
| 33 | 40 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 34 | 25 | -9 | J.J. Yeley |
| 35 | 22 | -13 | Michael Annett |
| 36 | 5 | -31 | Christopher Bell |
| 37 | 19 | -18 | Justin Allgaier |
| 38 | 16 | -22 | Chase Briscoe |
| 39 | 34 | -5 | Timmy Hill |
| 40 | 33 | -7 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 4 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 5 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 5 | +17.9 |
| 7 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 7 | +12.1 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 10 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| 11 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 11 | +2.3 |
| 19 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 19 | +4.4 |
| 20 | David Starr | 20.9 | 20 | +0.9 |
| 22 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 22 | +2.8 |
| 29 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 29 | -0.4 |
| 30 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 30 | -3.6 |
| 34 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 34 | -5.2 |
| 36 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 36 | -25.3 |
| 37 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 37 | -18.7 |
| 38 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 38 | -26.1 |
| 39 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 39 | -15.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 47 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 14.9 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.8 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 12 starts, 13.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO?
Kyle Busch won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT POCONO was held at Pocono Raceway on June 2, 2018.