Coca-Cola 600
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 26, 2019
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
400
Laps
21
Entries
11
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2019, leading 116 of 400 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 26, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 6 | 25 | +19 | Chris Buescher |
| 7 | 37 | +30 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | William Byron |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Aric Almirola |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Corey LaJoie |
| 13 | 5 | -8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Paul Menard |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | David Ragan |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Ryan Newman |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Denny Hamlin |
| 18 | 13 | -5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | Matt Tifft |
| 21 | 19 | -2 | Daniel Hemric |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aric Almirola | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Joey Logano | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Ryan Newman | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| William Byron | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Denny Hamlin | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Kevin Harvick | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Paul Menard | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Daniel Suarez | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Tifft | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 1 | +14.4 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2 | +12.7 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 5 | +14.9 |
| 6 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 7 | +6.5 |
| 8 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 8 | +11.9 |
| 9 | William Byron | 10.7 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 12 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 12 | +10.2 |
| 13 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 17 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 17 | -8.8 |
| 18 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 18 | -4.0 |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 19 | -7.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 25 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P20. Track history: 24 starts, 18.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Coca-Cola 600?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2019 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2019.