Coca-Cola 600

Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 26, 2019

Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
400
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2019, leading 116 of 400 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 26, 2019
Season
2019
Leaders
11 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 14 +13 Martin Truex, Jr.
2 7 +5 Joey Logano
3 3 Kyle Busch
4 12 +8 Chase Elliott
5 9 +4 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
6 22 +16 Chris Buescher
7 13 +6 Alex Bowman
8 15 +7 Jimmie Johnson
9 1 -8 William Byron
10 5 -5 Kevin Harvick
11 2 -9 Aric Almirola
12 30 +18 Corey LaJoie
13 19 +6 Ryan Blaney
14 17 +3 Paul Menard
15 31 +16 David Ragan
16 18 +2 Ryan Newman
17 20 +3 Denny Hamlin
18 6 -12 Daniel Suarez
19 21 +2 Brad Keselowski
20 26 +6 Matt Tifft
21 10 -11 Daniel Hemric
22 23 +1 Michael McDowell
23 28 +5 Ty Dillon
24 8 -16 Clint Bowyer
25 29 +4 Bubba Wallace
26 34 +8 Parker Kligerman
27 11 -16 Kurt Busch
28 39 +11 Quin Houff
29 36 +7 B.J. McLeod
30 37 +7 Reed Sorenson
31 24 -7 Ryan Preece
32 40 +8 Joey Gase
33 25 -8 Kyle Larson
34 4 -30 Austin Dillon
35 33 -2 Bayley Currey
36 35 -1 Ross Chastain
37 32 -5 Landon Cassill
38 38 Cody Ware
39 27 -12 Matt DiBenedetto
40 16 -24 Erik Jones
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 24 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 1 +14.4
2 Joey Logano 11.9 2 +9.9
4 Chase Elliott 10.1 4 +6.1
5 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 5 +14.9
6 Chris Buescher 9.2 6 +3.2
7 Alex Bowman 16.2 7 +9.2
8 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 8 +11.9
9 William Byron 10.7 9 +1.7
12 Corey LaJoie 22.2 12 +10.2
13 Ryan Blaney 8.2 13 -4.8
17 Denny Hamlin 6.2 17 -10.8
18 Daniel Suarez 12.7 18 -5.3
19 Brad Keselowski 15.4 19 -3.6
22 Michael McDowell 16.9 22 -5.1
23 Ty Dillon 22.9 23 -0.1
25 Bubba Wallace 12.7 25 -12.3
29 B.J. McLeod 24.7 29 -4.3
31 Ryan Preece 13.3 31 -17.7
32 Joey Gase 22.9 32 -9.1
33 Kyle Larson 13.1 33 -19.9

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Martin Truex, Jr.: has 26 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 12.0 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P17 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P38 vs predicted P57. Track history: 9 starts, 25.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 Coca-Cola 600?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2019 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 26, 2019.