First Data 500
Martinsville Speedway — October 27, 2019
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
500
Laps
20
Entries
3
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 First Data 500 at Martinsville Speedway on October 27, 2019, leading 464 of 500 laps. William Byron finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 27, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 34 | +32 | William Byron |
| 3 | 3 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 17 | +12 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Kurt Busch |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Kyle Larson |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Ryan Newman |
| 11 | 25 | +14 | David Ragan |
| 12 | 12 | — | Chris Buescher |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Kyle Busch |
| 15 | 24 | +9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 17 | 28 | +11 | Daniel Hemric |
| 18 | 32 | +14 | Corey LaJoie |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Ryan Preece |
| 20 | 18 | -2 | Erik Jones |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Busch | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 4.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Excellent
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 1 | +12.8 |
| 2 | William Byron | 10.3 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 3 | +9.0 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 8 | +4.1 |
| 9 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 12 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 12 | -1.7 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 15 | +5.1 |
| 18 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 18 | +6.9 |
| 19 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 19 | -8.2 |
| 20 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 20 | -2.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 38 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 47 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (8 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 First Data 500?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 First Data 500 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 First Data 500 held?
The 2019 First Data 500 was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 27, 2019.