Camping World 400
Chicagoland Speedway — June 30, 2019
Alex Bowman
Winner
267
Laps
21
Entries
13
Leaders
Alex Bowman won the 2019 Camping World 400 at Chicagoland Speedway on June 30, 2019, leading 88 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 30, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Alex Bowman |
| 2 | 2 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 30 | +26 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Erik Jones |
| 8 | 21 | +13 | William Byron |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 15 | +3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 13 | 4 | -9 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 15 | 1 | -14 | Denny Hamlin |
| 16 | 5 | -11 | Aric Almirola |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Ryan Newman |
| 18 | 29 | +11 | Chris Buescher |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Michael McDowell |
| 24 | 18 | -6 | Daniel Suarez |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Elliott | 2 | 6 | — | 14 |
| Kurt Busch | 9 | 1 | — | 12 |
| Kyle Larson | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | 10 | — | 9 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Erik Jones | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Ryan Newman | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| William Byron | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Ryan Blaney | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Daniel Hemric | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 1 | +12.5 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 4 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 4 | +15.9 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 5 | +6.2 |
| 6 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 7 | +9.7 |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 9 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 9 | +6.4 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 11 | -3.2 |
| 12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 15 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 15 | -6.8 |
| 18 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 18 | -8.8 |
| 20 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 20 | -3.0 |
| 24 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 24 | -10.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Alex Bowman: has 9 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 20.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P11 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 20 starts, 9.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Camping World 400?
Alex Bowman won the 2019 Camping World 400 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2019 Camping World 400 held?
The 2019 Camping World 400 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on June 30, 2019.