Food City 500
Bristol Motor Speedway, April 7, 2019
Kyle Busch
Winner
500
Laps
37
Entries
9
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 7, 2019, leading 71 of 500 laps. Kurt Busch finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 7, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 27 | +25 | Kurt Busch |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 5 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Paul Menard |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Daniel Suarez |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Ryan Newman |
| 10 | 10 | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 11 | 1 | -10 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 13 | 13 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 24 | +9 | Ty Dillon |
| 16 | 2 | -14 | William Byron |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Kyle Larson |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Bubba Wallace |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | David Ragan |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Chris Buescher |
| 23 | 14 | -9 | Alex Bowman |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Erik Jones |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Ryan Preece |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Landon Cassill |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Matt Tifft |
| 28 | 18 | -10 | Michael McDowell |
| 29 | 37 | +8 | Ross Chastain |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Daniel Hemric |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Bayley Currey |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Quin Houff |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | Corey LaJoie |
| 35 | 35 | — | Timmy Hill |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Gray Gaulding |
| 37 | 6 | -31 | Aric Almirola |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 8 | +6.0 |
| 10 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.0 | 10 | +8.0 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 17.7 | 14 | +3.7 |
| 15 | Ty Dillon | 23.1 | 15 | +8.1 |
| 16 | William Byron | 10.8 | 16 | -5.2 |
| 17 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 17 | -3.0 |
| 18 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 18 | -4.2 |
| 19 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 19 | -8.7 |
| 20 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 20 | -7.4 |
| 22 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 22 | -10.0 |
| 23 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 23 | -7.4 |
| 24 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 24 | -6.3 |
| 25 | Ryan Preece | 12.6 | 25 | -12.4 |
| 28 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 28 | -12.4 |
| 29 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 29 | -16.4 |
| 33 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.4 | 33 | -12.6 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 76 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (20 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Food City 500?
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Food City 500 held?
The 2019 Food City 500 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 7, 2019.