Food City 500
Bristol Motor Speedway — April 7, 2019
Kyle Busch
Winner
500
Laps
21
Entries
9
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 7, 2019, leading 71 of 500 laps. Kurt Busch finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 7, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 16 | +14 | Kurt Busch |
| 3 | 3 | — | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 9 | +5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Paul Menard |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Clint Bowyer |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 9 | 21 | +12 | Ryan Newman |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Kevin Harvick |
| 14 | 26 | +12 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 31 | +16 | Ty Dillon |
| 16 | 2 | -14 | William Byron |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Kyle Larson |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | Bubba Wallace |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Erik Jones |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| William Byron | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Joey Logano | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Kyle Larson | 4 | 6 | — | 12 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Chase Elliott | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Kevin Harvick | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Paul Menard | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Bowyer | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 3 | +9.1 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 8 | +7.6 |
| 10 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 10 | +7.7 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 11 | -2.7 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| 15 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 15 | +9.3 |
| 16 | William Byron | 10.3 | 16 | -5.7 |
| 17 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 17 | -3.2 |
| 18 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 18 | -6.0 |
| 19 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 19 | -10.4 |
| 20 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 20 | -6.0 |
| 24 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 24 | -6.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 73 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (20 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Food City 500?
Kyle Busch won the 2019 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Food City 500 held?
The 2019 Food City 500 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 7, 2019.