Toyota Owners 400

Richmond Raceway — April 13, 2019

Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
400
Laps
20
Entries
5
Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway on April 13, 2019, leading 186 of 400 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Clint Bowyer rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 13, 2019
Season
2019
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 18 +17 Martin Truex, Jr.
2 19 +17 Joey Logano
3 6 +3 Clint Bowyer
4 2 -2 Kevin Harvick
5 9 +4 Denny Hamlin
6 1 -5 Austin Dillon
7 12 +5 Brad Keselowski
8 17 +9 Kyle Busch
9 16 +7 Ryan Newman
10 24 +14 Paul Menard
11 5 -6 Kurt Busch
12 4 -8 Jimmie Johnson
13 11 -2 William Byron
14 21 +7 Erik Jones
15 13 -2 Chase Elliott
16 25 +9 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
17 8 -9 Alex Bowman
18 28 +10 Daniel Suarez
19 3 -16 Daniel Hemric
20 22 +2 Ryan Preece
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kevin Harvick 7 1 14
Jimmie Johnson 4 5 13
Martin Truex, Jr. 6 6 10
Denny Hamlin 1 10
Brad Keselowski 2 9
Chase Elliott 2 9
Alex Bowman 9 4 9
William Byron 8 7 7
Austin Dillon 5 6
Kurt Busch 10 8 4
Kyle Busch 9 2
Joey Logano
Clint Bowyer
Ryan Newman
Paul Menard
Erik Jones
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Daniel Suarez
Daniel Hemric
Ryan Preece
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Martin Truex, Jr. 13.8 1 +12.8
2 Joey Logano 12.1 2 +10.1
5 Denny Hamlin 6.8 5 +1.8
6 Austin Dillon 17.0 6 +11.0
7 Brad Keselowski 12.0 7 +5.0
8 Kyle Busch 15.6 8 +7.6
12 Jimmie Johnson 17.7 12 +5.7
13 William Byron 10.3 13 -2.7
14 Erik Jones 17.7 14 +3.7
15 Chase Elliott 8.3 15 -6.7
16 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.1 16 +4.1
17 Alex Bowman 14.0 17 -3.0
18 Daniel Suarez 15.6 18 -2.4
20 Ryan Preece 10.8 20 -9.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Martin Truex, Jr.: has 18 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 11.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P5 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 Toyota Owners 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 held?
The 2019 Toyota Owners 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on April 13, 2019.