NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON

Darlington Raceway — August 31, 2019

Cole Custer
Winner
147
Laps
38
Entries
3
Leaders

Cole Custer won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway on August 31, 2019. Tyler Reddick finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 31, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Cole Custer
2 6 +4 Tyler Reddick
3 1 -2 Ryan Blaney
4 2 -2 Christopher Bell
5 14 +9 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
6 5 -1 Chase Briscoe
7 7 Brandon Jones
8 8 Noah Gragson
9 4 -5 Justin Allgaier
10 9 -1 Austin Cindric
11 12 +1 Justin Haley
12 20 +8 Jeremy Clements
13 10 -3 Michael Annett
14 13 -1 Ryan Sieg
15 15 Gray Gaulding
16 18 +2 Ray Black, Jr.
17 17 Alex Labbe
18 11 -7 Landon Cassill
19 23 +4 B.J. McLeod
20 22 +2 Camden Murphy
21 16 -5 John Hunter Nemechek
22 21 -1 Stefan Parsons
23 27 +4 Timmy Hill
24 28 +4 Josh Williams
25 26 +1 Joey Gase
26 24 -2 Stephen Leicht
27 33 +6 David Starr
28 36 +8 Vinnie Miller
29 29 Garrett Smithley
30 31 +1 Chad Finchum
31 34 +3 Matt Mills
32 35 +3 Mike Harmon
33 19 -14 Brandon Brown
34 25 -9 Joe Nemechek
35 32 -3 Tommy Joe Martins
36 30 -6 J.J. Yeley
37 38 +1 Morgan Shepherd
38 37 -1 Denny Hamlin
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Cole Custer 22.9 1 +21.9
2 Tyler Reddick 6.2 2 +4.2
3 Ryan Blaney 9.2 3 +6.2
4 Christopher Bell 10.7 4 +6.7
6 Chase Briscoe 11.9 6 +5.9
8 Noah Gragson 21.4 8 +13.4
9 Justin Allgaier 18.3 9 +9.3
10 Austin Cindric 15.4 10 +5.4
11 Justin Haley 19.9 11 +8.9
19 B.J. McLeod 24.8 19 +5.8
21 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 21 -1.9
23 Timmy Hill 23.9 23 +0.9
25 Joey Gase 23.4 25 -1.6
27 David Starr 20.9 27 -6.1
30 Chad Finchum 26.4 30 -3.6
36 J.J. Yeley 28.8 36 -7.2
38 Denny Hamlin 8.2 38 -29.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Cole Custer: has 14 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 11.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON?
Cole Custer won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DARLINGTON was held at Darlington Raceway on August 31, 2019.