NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL

Bristol Motor Speedway — April 6, 2019

Christopher Bell
Winner
300
Laps
37
Entries
5
Leaders

Christopher Bell won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 6, 2019, leading 57 of 300 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Cole Custer rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 6, 2019
Season
2019
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 Christopher Bell
2 2 Tyler Reddick
3 1 -2 Cole Custer
4 3 -1 Chase Briscoe
5 10 +5 John Hunter Nemechek
6 4 -2 Austin Cindric
7 11 +4 Justin Haley
8 9 +1 Michael Annett
9 7 -2 Noah Gragson
10 5 -5 Harrison Burton
11 16 +5 Zane Smith
12 14 +2 Ryan Sieg
13 15 +2 Jeremy Clements
14 13 -1 Brandon Jones
15 19 +4 Gray Gaulding
16 21 +5 Ray Black, Jr.
17 20 +3 Timmy Hill
18 23 +5 B.J. McLeod
19 25 +6 Josh Williams
20 18 -2 Chad Finchum
21 31 +10 Matt Mills
22 26 +4 Garrett Smithley
23 22 -1 Brandon Brown
24 30 +6 Vinnie Miller
25 32 +7 David Starr
26 28 +2 Tommy Joe Martins
27 27 Joey Gase
28 24 -4 Kyle Weatherman
29 34 +5 Mike Harmon
30 6 -24 Justin Allgaier
31 17 -14 Alex Labbe
32 36 +4 Stephen Leicht
33 12 -21 Ross Chastain
34 37 +3 Jeff Green
35 33 -2 Morgan Shepherd
36 29 -7 Josh Bilicki
37 35 -2 John Jackson
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Christopher Bell 8.6 1 +7.6
2 Tyler Reddick 9.9 2 +7.9
3 Cole Custer 23.0 3 +20.0
4 Chase Briscoe 12.6 4 +8.6
5 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 5 +15.1
6 Austin Cindric 17.0 6 +11.0
7 Justin Haley 21.2 7 +14.2
9 Noah Gragson 23.0 9 +14.0
11 Zane Smith 20.2 11 +9.2
17 Timmy Hill 24.3 17 +7.3
18 B.J. McLeod 25.6 18 +7.6
20 Chad Finchum 22.1 20 +2.1
25 David Starr 20.2 25 -4.8
27 Joey Gase 22.0 27 -5.0
30 Justin Allgaier 17.7 30 -12.3
33 Ross Chastain 13.8 33 -19.2
36 Josh Bilicki 29.4 36 -6.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Christopher Bell: has 21 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (4 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 17 starts, 14.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL?
Christopher Bell won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT BRISTOL was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 6, 2019.