NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT IOWA
Iowa Speedway — June 16, 2019
Christopher Bell
Winner
250
Laps
38
Entries
3
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT IOWA at Iowa Speedway on June 16, 2019, leading 186 of 250 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 16, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Harrison Burton |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Zane Smith |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Noah Gragson |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Michael Annett |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Austin Cindric |
| 11 | 11 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Justin Haley |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Gray Gaulding |
| 15 | 5 | -10 | Tyler Reddick |
| 16 | 19 | +3 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Josh Williams |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Shane Lee |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | Tyler Matthews |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Chad Finchum |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Ryan Repko |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Ronnie Bassett, Jr. |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Stephen Leicht |
| 26 | 26 | — | Matt Mills |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Stan Mullis |
| 29 | 25 | -4 | Garrett Smithley |
| 30 | 16 | -14 | Ryan Sieg |
| 31 | 15 | -16 | Brandon Brown |
| 32 | 31 | -1 | Vinnie Miller |
| 33 | 30 | -3 | Joey Gase |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | David Starr |
| 35 | 29 | -6 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Timmy Hill |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Jeff Green |
| 38 | 36 | -2 | Josh Bilicki |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 1 | +9.7 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 5 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 5 | +14.1 |
| 6 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 6 | +15.4 |
| 7 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 7 | +4.9 |
| 8 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 8 | +11.1 |
| 10 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| 13 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 13 | +6.9 |
| 15 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 15 | -8.8 |
| 21 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 21 | +5.4 |
| 33 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 33 | -9.6 |
| 34 | David Starr | 20.9 | 34 | -13.1 |
| 36 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 36 | -12.1 |
| 38 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 38 | -9.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 11 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 8.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Iowa Speedway with a 12.5 avg finish, finishing P15 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 11 starts, 11.3 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT IOWA?
Christopher Bell won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT IOWA at Iowa Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT IOWA held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT IOWA was held at Iowa Speedway on June 16, 2019.