NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA
Daytona International Speedway — August 28, 2020
Justin Haley
Winner
100
Laps
37
Entries
7
Leaders
Justin Haley won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway on August 28, 2020, leading 9 of 100 laps. Gray Gaulding finished second; Chase Briscoe rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, August 28, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Justin Haley |
| 2 | 28 | +26 | Gray Gaulding |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Riley Herbst |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Harrison Burton |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Ross Chastain |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Michael Annett |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Austin Cindric |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | Josh Williams |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Jesse Little |
| 11 | 30 | +19 | Vinnie Miller |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | Colby Howard |
| 13 | 6 | -7 | Brandon Jones |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 15 | 34 | +19 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Matt Mills |
| 17 | 35 | +18 | Mike Harmon |
| 18 | 36 | +18 | Tim Viens |
| 19 | 19 | — | Myatt Snider |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 21 | 13 | -8 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Timmy Hill |
| 23 | 14 | -9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 24 | 7 | -17 | Daniel Hemric |
| 25 | 25 | — | Chad Finchum |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Brandon Brown |
| 27 | 12 | -15 | Brett Moffitt |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 29 | 5 | -24 | Justin Allgaier |
| 30 | 17 | -13 | Alex Labbe |
| 31 | 4 | -27 | Noah Gragson |
| 32 | 23 | -9 | B.J. McLeod |
| 33 | 24 | -9 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 34 | 27 | -7 | Kody Vanderwal |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | John Jackson |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 37 | 22 | -15 | Joe Graf Jr. |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 1 | +22.4 |
| 3 | Chase Briscoe | 21.7 | 3 | +18.7 |
| 4 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 6 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 6 | +11.4 |
| 8 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 8 | +12.1 |
| 15 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 15 | +5.1 |
| 21 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 21 | +2.7 |
| 22 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 22 | +0.8 |
| 25 | Chad Finchum | 22.9 | 25 | -2.1 |
| 28 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 28 | -4.3 |
| 29 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 29 | -7.9 |
| 31 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 31 | -7.0 |
| 32 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 32 | -6.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Haley: has 24 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 32 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.0 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA?
Justin Haley won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT DAYTONA was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 28, 2020.