NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI
Homestead-Miami Speedway — June 13, 2020
Harrison Burton
Winner
167
Laps
37
Entries
7
Leaders
Harrison Burton won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 13, 2020, leading 2 of 167 laps. Austin Cindric finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 13, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Harrison Burton |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Austin Cindric |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 5 | 12 | +7 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 6 | 17 | +11 | Michael Annett |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Chase Briscoe |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Brandon Jones |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Riley Herbst |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 12 | 23 | +11 | Jeremy Clements |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Justin Haley |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Brandon Brown |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Myatt Snider |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 17 | 31 | +14 | Colby Howard |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Jesse Little |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 20 | 18 | -2 | Josh Williams |
| 21 | 37 | +16 | Colin Garrett |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Stefan Parsons |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Timmy Hill |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Bayley Currey |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Alex Labbe |
| 26 | 22 | -4 | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Matt Mills |
| 28 | 7 | -21 | Ryan Sieg |
| 29 | 24 | -5 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 30 | 19 | -11 | Chad Finchum |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 32 | 11 | -21 | Justin Allgaier |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 34 | 20 | -14 | Vinnie Miller |
| 35 | 13 | -22 | Brett Moffitt |
| 36 | 33 | -3 | Stephen Leicht |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Kody Vanderwal |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 3 | +18.4 |
| 4 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 7 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 7 | +4.9 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 9 | +4.3 |
| 10 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 10 | +11.4 |
| 11 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 11 | +17.8 |
| 13 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 13 | +6.9 |
| 23 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 23 | +0.9 |
| 26 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 26 | -1.2 |
| 30 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 30 | -3.6 |
| 32 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 32 | -13.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Harrison Burton: has 8 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 14.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Briscoe: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 8.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 10 starts, 11.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI?
Harrison Burton won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on June 13, 2020.