NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA
Talladega Superspeedway — October 3, 2020
Justin Haley
Winner
113
Laps
37
Entries
9
Leaders
Justin Haley won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway on October 3, 2020, leading 2 of 113 laps. Ryan Sieg finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 3, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Justin Haley |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Ryan Sieg |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Brandon Jones |
| 5 | 5 | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Ross Chastain |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Josh Williams |
| 8 | 26 | +18 | Garrett Smithley |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Brandon Brown |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Alex Labbe |
| 11 | 32 | +21 | Chad Finchum |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 13 | 33 | +20 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 14 | 37 | +23 | Timmy Hill |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 16 | 34 | +18 | Joe Nemechek |
| 17 | 31 | +14 | Mike Harmon |
| 18 | 35 | +17 | Josh Bilicki |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Chase Briscoe |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Matt Mills |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Vinnie Miller |
| 23 | 11 | -12 | Harrison Burton |
| 24 | 36 | +12 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 25 | 20 | -5 | Jesse Little |
| 26 | 19 | -7 | Myatt Snider |
| 27 | 15 | -12 | Brett Moffitt |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Kody Vanderwal |
| 29 | 4 | -25 | Justin Allgaier |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | Ryan Vargas |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 33 | 18 | -15 | Austin Hill |
| 34 | 3 | -31 | Austin Cindric |
| 35 | 12 | -23 | Riley Herbst |
| 36 | 22 | -14 | Colby Howard |
| 37 | 9 | -28 | Michael Annett |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 1 | +22.4 |
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 3 | +21.0 |
| 6 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 6 | +11.4 |
| 11 | Chad Finchum | 22.9 | 11 | +11.9 |
| 12 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 12 | +11.7 |
| 14 | Timmy Hill | 22.8 | 14 | +8.8 |
| 18 | Josh Bilicki | 25.5 | 18 | +7.5 |
| 19 | Chase Briscoe | 21.7 | 19 | +2.7 |
| 24 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 24 | -3.9 |
| 29 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 29 | -7.9 |
| 33 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 33 | -9.0 |
| 34 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 34 | -13.9 |
| 35 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 35 | -11.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Haley: has 17 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 13.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 23 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA?
Justin Haley won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT TALLADEGA was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 3, 2020.