NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT RICHMOND
Richmond Raceway — September 11, 2020
Justin Allgaier
Winner
250
Laps
37
Entries
6
Leaders
Justin Allgaier won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT RICHMOND at Richmond Raceway on September 11, 2020, leading 78 of 250 laps. Justin Haley finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, September 11, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +15 | Justin Allgaier |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Justin Haley |
| 3 | 29 | +26 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Austin Cindric |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 20 | +14 | Brett Moffitt |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Michael Annett |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Noah Gragson |
| 9 | 24 | +15 | Kaz Grala |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Riley Herbst |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Chase Briscoe |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Ryan Sieg |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Matt Mills |
| 14 | 2 | -12 | Brandon Jones |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 16 | 3 | -13 | Harrison Burton |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 13 | -5 | Brandon Brown |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Joey Gase |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Bayley Currey |
| 22 | 12 | -10 | Josh Williams |
| 23 | 15 | -8 | Alex Labbe |
| 24 | 17 | -7 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 25 | 14 | -11 | Jesse Little |
| 26 | 36 | +10 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Mason Massey |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Kody Vanderwal |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Vinnie Miller |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | Dexter Bean |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Jeb Burton |
| 33 | 18 | -15 | Colby Howard |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Stephen Leicht |
| 35 | 11 | -24 | Myatt Snider |
| 36 | 37 | +1 | Timmy Hill |
| 37 | 25 | -12 | Chad Finchum |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 1 | +16.7 |
| 2 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 2 | +19.2 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 4 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 5 | +8.8 |
| 8 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 8 | +15.0 |
| 10 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 10 | +12.1 |
| 11 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 11 | +1.6 |
| 20 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 20 | +2.0 |
| 29 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 29 | -3.4 |
| 36 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 36 | -11.7 |
| 37 | Chad Finchum | 22.1 | 37 | -14.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Allgaier: has 8 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Briscoe: was the model’s top pick based on 11 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 18.5 avg finish, finishing P11 on the day.
- Justin Haley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 7 starts, 19.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT RICHMOND?
Justin Allgaier won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT RICHMOND at Richmond Raceway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT RICHMOND held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT RICHMOND was held at Richmond Raceway on September 11, 2020.