Go Bowling at The Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 8, 2021

Kyle Larson
Winner
90
Laps
22
Entries
7
Leaders

Kyle Larson won the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 8, 2021, leading 27 of 90 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 8, 2021
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 17 +16 Kyle Larson
2 11 +9 Chase Elliott
3 9 +6 Martin Truex, Jr.
4 24 +20 Kyle Busch
5 1 -4 Denny Hamlin
6 31 +25 William Byron
7 3 -4 Christopher Bell
8 4 -4 Kevin Harvick
9 30 +21 Chase Briscoe
10 35 +25 Tyler Reddick
11 37 +26 Matt DiBenedetto
12 32 +20 Ross Chastain
13 5 -8 Kurt Busch
14 14 Ryan Blaney
15 22 +7 Austin Dillon
16 16 Aric Almirola
17 12 -5 Chris Buescher
18 10 -8 Cole Custer
19 15 -4 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
20 13 -7 Alex Bowman
22 2 -20 Joey Logano
35 7 -28 Brad Keselowski
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
William Byron 4 1 17
Martin Truex, Jr. 3 4 15
Chris Buescher 1 6 15
Kyle Larson 6 5 11
Kurt Busch 9 3 10
Brad Keselowski 2 10 10
Denny Hamlin 12 2 9
Alex Bowman 5 9 8
Kevin Harvick 13 7 4
Joey Logano 7 15 4
Chase Elliott 8 12 3
Ryan Blaney 18 8 3
Austin Dillon 10 11 1
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Larson 12.9 1 +11.9
2 Chase Elliott 7.2 2 +5.2
3 Martin Truex, Jr. 16.5 3 +13.5
4 Kyle Busch 13.0 4 +9.0
5 Denny Hamlin 16.7 5 +11.7
6 William Byron 11.5 6 +5.5
7 Christopher Bell 7.2 7 +0.2
9 Chase Briscoe 16.7 9 +7.7
10 Tyler Reddick 11.2 10 +1.2
12 Ross Chastain 16.2 12 +4.2
14 Ryan Blaney 12.7 14 -1.3
15 Austin Dillon 21.4 15 +6.4
17 Chris Buescher 10.2 17 -6.8
18 Cole Custer 25.7 18 +7.7
19 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 21.4 19 +2.4
20 Alex Bowman 16.7 20 -3.3
22 Joey Logano 12.7 22 -9.3
35 Brad Keselowski 16.7 35 -18.3

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Larson: has 17 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 16.9 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
  • Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 19 starts, 11.8 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen?
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen at Watkins Glen International driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen held?
The 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on August 8, 2021.