NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Watkins Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 7, 2021

Austin Hill
Winner
61
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders

Austin Hill won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 7, 2021, leading 35 of 61 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Sheldon Creed rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 7, 2021
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Austin Hill
2 6 +4 John Hunter Nemechek
3 19 +16 Sheldon Creed
4 2 -2 Todd Gilliland
5 38 +33 Parker Kligerman
6 8 +2 Zane Smith
7 10 +3 Tyler Ankrum
8 39 +31 Paul Menard
9 40 +31 Sam Mayer
10 9 -1 Carson Hocevar
11 21 +10 Josh Berry
12 23 +11 Kaz Grala
13 15 +2 Christian Eckes
14 22 +8 Tanner Gray
15 5 -10 Ben Rhodes
16 20 +4 Austin Wayne Self
17 12 -5 Ryan Truex
18 16 -2 Corey Heim
19 18 -1 Hailie Deegan
20 17 -3 Stewart Friesen
21 7 -14 Derek Kraus
22 4 -18 Matt Crafton
23 14 -9 Johnny Sauter
24 36 +12 Timmy Hill
25 27 +2 Jack Wood
26 13 -13 Tate Fogleman
27 25 -2 A.J. Allmendinger
28 11 -17 Danny Bohn
29 35 +6 Bobby Reuse
30 37 +7 Roger Reuse
31 33 +2 Josh Reaume
32 24 -8 Lawless Alan
33 34 +1 Spencer Boyd
34 31 -3 Chad Chastain
35 32 -3 Taylor Gray
36 28 -8 Jennifer Cobb
37 26 -11 Norm Benning
38 30 -8 Grant Enfinger
39 29 -10 Will Rodgers
40 3 -37 Chandler Smith
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Austin Hill 21.4 1 +20.4
2 John Hunter Nemechek 25.7 2 +23.7
4 Todd Gilliland 20.8 4 +16.8
6 Zane Smith 25.7 6 +19.7
10 Carson Hocevar 21.4 10 +11.4
11 Josh Berry 28.4 11 +17.4
17 Ryan Truex 20.8 17 +3.8
18 Corey Heim 20.8 18 +2.8
21 Derek Kraus 20.8 21 -0.2
24 Timmy Hill 20.8 24 -3.2
27 A.J. Allmendinger 16.5 27 -10.5

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Austin Hill: has 6 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 15.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • A.J. Allmendinger: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 9.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P27 on the day.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P26. Track history: 4 starts, 12.5 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Watkins Glen?
Austin Hill won the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Watkins Glen held?
The 2021 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series at Watkins Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on August 7, 2021.