NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix

Phoenix Raceway — March 13, 2021

Austin Cindric

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Austin Cindric won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on March 13, 2021, leading 119 of 200 laps. Ty Gibbs finished second; Brandon Brown rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Track

Phoenix Raceway

Season

2021

Winner

Austin Cindric

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	3	+2	Austin Cindric	200	—	Running	119	57
2	27	+25	Ty Gibbs	200	—	Running	1	38
3	11	+8	Brandon Brown	200	—	Running	—	34
4	30	+26	Riley Herbst	200	—	Running	—	33
5	4	-1	A.J. Allmendinger	200	—	Running	—	36
6	6	—	Jeb Burton	200	—	Running	—	39
7	29	+22	Bayley Currey	200	—	Running	—	0
8	12	+4	Justin Allgaier	200	—	Running	32	42
9	20	+11	Brett Moffitt	200	—	Running	—	0
10	13	+3	Jeremy Clements	200	—	Running	—	27
11	19	+8	Myatt Snider	200	—	Running	—	26
12	7	-5	Harrison Burton	200	—	Running	—	42
13	33	+20	J.J. Yeley	200	—	Running	—	24
14	39	+25	Timmy Hill	200	—	Running	—	0
15	14	-1	Santino Ferrucci	200	—	Running	—	22
16	24	+8	Colby Howard	200	—	Running	—	21
17	15	-2	Tommy Joe Martins	200	—	Running	—	20
18	35	+17	Stefan Parsons	200	—	Running	—	19
19	21	+2	Jeffrey Earnhardt	200	—	Running	—	18
20	32	+12	Jade Buford	200	—	Running	—	17
21	17	-4	Josh Williams	200	—	Running	—	16
22	18	-4	Landon Cassill	200	—	Running	—	15
23	1	-22	Daniel Hemric	200	—	Running	44	31
24	28	+4	Blaine Perkins	200	—	Running	—	13
25	16	-9	Joe Graf Jr.	200	—	Running	—	12
26	5	-21	Justin Haley	199	—	Running	—	21
27	34	+7	Gray Gaulding	199	—	Running	—	10
28	37	+9	David Starr	199	—	Running	—	9
29	22	-7	Dexter Bean	198	—	Running	—	8
30	25	-5	Ryan Vargas	197	—	Running	—	7
31	40	+9	Loris Hezemans	195	—	Running	—	6
32	36	+4	Alex Labbe	194	—	Running	—	5
33	2	-31	Brandon Jones	165	—	DNF	2	14
34	26	-8	Kyle Weatherman	164	—	DNF	—	3
35	38	+3	Matt Mills	157	—	DNF	—	2
36	9	-27	Josh Berry	146	—	DNF	—	4
37	31	-6	Ryan Sieg	133	—	DNF	2	1
38	8	-30	Michael Annett	93	—	DNF	—	3
39	10	-29	Noah Gragson	67	—	DNF	—	7
40	23	-17	Jesse Little	44	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Austin Cindric	17.0	1	+16.0	Coinflip
2	Ty Gibbs	12.6	2	+10.6	Coinflip
4	Riley Herbst	22.1	4	+18.1	High Confidence
5	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	5	+13.3	Moderate
8	Justin Allgaier	17.7	8	+9.7	Moderate
13	J.J. Yeley	28.1	13	+15.1	High Confidence
14	Timmy Hill	24.3	14	+10.3	High Confidence
26	Justin Haley	21.2	26	-4.8	High Confidence
28	David Starr	20.2	28	-7.8	Moderate
36	Josh Berry	19.0	36	-17.0	Moderate
39	Noah Gragson	23.0	39	-16.0	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Austin Cindric: has 13 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 15.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Ty Gibbs: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.
Riley Herbst: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P22. Track history: 12 starts, 14.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix?

Austin Cindric won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.

Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix held?

The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 13, 2021.