NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega
Talladega Superspeedway — October 2, 2021
Brandon Brown
Winner
107
Laps
40
Entries
17
Leaders
Brandon Brown won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway on October 2, 2021, leading 8 of 107 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 17 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 2, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
17 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Brandon Brown |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Brandon Jones |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 5 | 29 | +24 | Jordan Anderson |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Jeb Burton |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Austin Cindric |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Josh Berry |
| 10 | 40 | +30 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Ryan Sieg |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | Jade Buford |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Blaine Perkins |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Josh Williams |
| 15 | 39 | +24 | Joey Gase |
| 16 | 38 | +22 | J.J. Yeley |
| 17 | 33 | +16 | Santino Ferrucci |
| 18 | 18 | — | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 19 | 35 | +16 | Garrett Smithley |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | Alex Labbe |
| 22 | 11 | -11 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | Matt Mills |
| 24 | 15 | -9 | Jeremy Clements |
| 25 | 9 | -16 | Harrison Burton |
| 26 | 16 | -10 | Brett Moffitt |
| 27 | 13 | -14 | Riley Herbst |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Jason A. White |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 30 | 4 | -26 | Noah Gragson |
| 31 | 10 | -21 | Myatt Snider |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 33 | 22 | -11 | Ryan Vargas |
| 34 | 36 | +2 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | Mason Massey |
| 36 | 20 | -16 | Bayley Currey |
| 37 | 21 | -16 | Landon Cassill |
| 38 | 12 | -26 | Sam Mayer |
| 39 | 5 | -34 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 40 | 28 | -12 | David Starr |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 6 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 6 | +17.4 |
| 8 | Austin Cindric | 20.1 | 8 | +12.1 |
| 9 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 9 | +15.0 |
| 15 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 15 | +8.7 |
| 16 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 16 | +9.2 |
| 22 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 22 | -1.5 |
| 27 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 27 | -3.3 |
| 30 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 30 | -6.0 |
| 39 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 39 | -18.9 |
| 40 | David Starr | 21.1 | 40 | -18.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brandon Brown: has 8 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Austin Cindric: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 15.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P8 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 23 starts, 19.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega?
Brandon Brown won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega held?
The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 2, 2021.