NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono

Pocono Raceway — June 27, 2021

Austin Cindric

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Austin Cindric won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway on June 27, 2021, leading 26 of 90 laps. Ty Gibbs finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, June 27, 2021

Track

Pocono Raceway

Season

2021

Winner

Austin Cindric

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	13	+12	Austin Cindric	90	—	Running	26	52
2	14	+12	Ty Gibbs	90	—	Running	11	50
3	2	-1	Justin Allgaier	90	—	Running	10	43
4	7	+3	Noah Gragson	90	—	Running	1	46
5	3	-2	A.J. Allmendinger	90	—	Running	—	41
6	6	—	Daniel Hemric	90	—	Running	18	40
7	4	-3	Brandon Jones	90	—	Running	—	38
8	5	-3	Jeb Burton	90	—	Running	—	36
9	33	+24	Josh Berry	90	—	Running	—	31
10	19	+9	Myatt Snider	90	—	Running	—	34
11	17	+6	Brett Moffitt	90	—	Running	—	26
12	8	-4	Michael Annett	90	—	Running	—	25
13	9	-4	Jeremy Clements	90	—	Running	2	24
14	26	+12	Santino Ferrucci	90	—	Running	—	23
15	24	+9	Brandon Brown	90	—	Running	—	22
16	16	—	Alex Labbe	90	—	Running	1	21
17	12	-5	Ryan Sieg	90	—	Running	—	20
18	20	+2	Sam Mayer	89	—	Running	—	19
19	29	+10	Jade Buford	89	—	Running	—	18
20	18	-2	Tommy Joe Martins	89	—	Running	—	17
21	23	+2	Landon Cassill	89	—	Running	—	16
22	38	+16	Jeffrey Earnhardt	89	—	Running	—	15
23	27	+4	Matt Mills	89	—	Running	—	14
24	37	+13	Colby Howard	89	—	Running	—	13
25	15	-10	Austin Hill	89	—	Running	—	0
26	30	+4	Kyle Weatherman	89	—	Running	—	11
27	39	+12	Loris Hezemans	89	—	Running	—	10
28	32	+4	Carson Ware	88	—	Running	—	9
29	28	-1	Jesse Little	88	—	Running	—	8
30	36	+6	Mason Massey	88	—	Running	—	7
31	34	+3	Jesse Iwuji	88	—	Running	—	0
32	35	+3	Joe Graf Jr.	88	—	Running	—	5
33	25	-8	David Starr	87	—	Running	—	4
34	31	-3	Blaine Perkins	78	—	Running	—	3
35	10	-25	Riley Herbst	45	—	DNF	—	8
36	40	+4	Joey Gase	42	—	DNF	—	1
37	1	-36	Harrison Burton	36	—	DNF	21	11
38	11	-27	Justin Haley	24	—	DNF	—	3
39	21	-18	Ryan Vargas	24	—	DNF	—	1
40	22	-18	Josh Williams	11	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Austin Cindric	15.4	1	+14.4	Coinflip
2	Ty Gibbs	14.5	2	+12.5	Coinflip
3	Justin Allgaier	18.3	3	+15.3	Coinflip
4	Noah Gragson	21.4	4	+17.4	High Confidence
5	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	5	+13.3	Moderate
9	Josh Berry	22.9	9	+13.9	High Confidence
25	Austin Hill	20.9	25	-4.1	Moderate
33	David Starr	20.9	33	-12.1	Moderate
35	Riley Herbst	21.4	35	-13.6	High Confidence
36	Joey Gase	23.4	36	-12.6	High Confidence
38	Justin Haley	19.9	38	-18.1	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Austin Cindric: has 8 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Ty Gibbs: was the model’s top pick based on 7 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 12.6 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 6 starts, 13.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono?

Austin Cindric won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway.

Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono held?

The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono was held at Pocono Raceway on June 27, 2021.