NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega

Talladega Superspeedway — April 24, 2021

Jeb Burton

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jeb Burton won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway on April 24, 2021, leading 21 of 90 laps. Austin Cindric finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Track

Talladega Superspeedway

Season

2021

Winner

Jeb Burton

Leaders

12 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	9	+8	Jeb Burton	90	—	Running	21	49
2	1	-1	Austin Cindric	90	—	Running	24	50
3	11	+8	A.J. Allmendinger	90	—	Running	—	39
4	19	+15	Riley Herbst	90	—	Running	—	33
5	17	+12	Ryan Sieg	90	—	Running	1	32
6	4	-2	Noah Gragson	90	—	Running	8	49
7	18	+11	Brandon Brown	90	—	Running	1	33
8	5	-3	Justin Haley	90	—	Running	2	39
9	10	+1	Myatt Snider	90	—	Running	3	33
10	3	-7	Harrison Burton	90	—	Running	6	33
11	23	+12	Tommy Joe Martins	90	—	Running	—	26
12	2	-10	Daniel Hemric	90	—	Running	18	33
13	27	+14	Timmy Hill	90	—	Running	—	0
14	14	—	Jeremy Clements	90	—	Running	—	23
15	22	+7	Colin Garrett	90	—	Running	—	22
16	26	+10	David Starr	90	—	Running	—	21
17	13	-4	Brett Moffitt	90	—	Running	—	23
18	20	+2	Jade Buford	90	—	Running	—	19
19	37	+18	Colby Howard	90	—	Running	3	18
20	32	+12	Landon Cassill	90	—	Running	—	17
21	30	+9	Alex Labbe	90	—	Running	—	16
22	33	+11	Jeffrey Earnhardt	90	—	Running	—	15
23	21	-2	Kyle Weatherman	90	—	Running	—	14
24	38	+14	Natalie Decker	90	—	Running	—	13
25	36	+11	Matt Mills	90	—	Running	—	12
26	34	+8	Jesse Little	90	—	Running	—	11
27	31	+4	Mason Massey	90	—	Running	—	10
28	15	-13	Josh Williams	90	—	Running	—	9
29	8	-21	Justin Allgaier	90	—	Running	—	18
30	39	+9	Ryan Vargas	90	—	Running	3	7
31	6	-25	Josh Berry	90	—	Running	—	6
32	12	-20	Michael Annett	88	—	Running	—	7
33	35	+2	Joe Graf Jr.	88	—	Running	—	4
34	24	-10	Gray Gaulding	87	—	Running	—	3
35	16	-19	Ty Dillon	87	—	Running	—	8
36	29	-7	Joey Gase	85	—	Running	—	1
37	7	-30	Brandon Jones	84	—	Running	—	11
38	28	-10	Caesar Bacarella	84	—	Running	—	1
39	40	+1	Jason A. White	51	—	DNF	1	1
40	25	-15	Bayley Currey	34	—	DNF	—	0

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Austin Cindric	20.1	2	+18.1	Coinflip
3	A.J. Allmendinger	20.1	3	+17.1	Moderate
4	Riley Herbst	23.7	4	+19.7	High Confidence
6	Noah Gragson	24.0	6	+18.0	High Confidence
8	Justin Haley	23.4	8	+15.4	High Confidence
13	Timmy Hill	22.8	13	+9.8	Moderate
16	David Starr	21.1	16	+5.1	Moderate
29	Justin Allgaier	21.1	29	-7.9	Moderate
31	Josh Berry	24.0	31	-7.0	High Confidence
35	Ty Dillon	21.1	35	-13.9	Moderate
36	Joey Gase	23.7	36	-12.3	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jeb Burton: has 14 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 11.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Austin Cindric: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 15.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.
Riley Herbst: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P24. Track history: 15 starts, 17.3 avg finish.

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Track

Talladega Superspeedway

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega?

Jeb Burton won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway.

Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega held?

The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 24, 2021.