Coke Zero Sugar 400
Daytona International Speedway, August 28, 2022
Austin Dillon
Winner
160
Laps
37
Entries
19
Leaders
Austin Dillon won the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on August 28, 2022, leading 10 of 160 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Austin Cindric rounded out the podium. The race featured 19 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 28, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
19 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | +20 | Austin Dillon |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Austin Cindric |
| 4 | 35 | +31 | Landon Cassill |
| 5 | 37 | +32 | Noah Gragson |
| 6 | 33 | +27 | Cody Ware |
| 7 | 36 | +29 | B.J. McLeod |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 9 | 34 | +25 | David Ragan |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Kyle Busch |
| 11 | 30 | +19 | Bubba Wallace |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Joey Logano |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Ty Gibbs |
| 14 | 10 | -4 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 17 | 11 | -6 | Erik Jones |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Harrison Burton |
| 20 | 7 | -13 | Kevin Harvick |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Aric Almirola |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Todd Gilliland |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Daniel Suarez |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Denny Hamlin |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 27 | 8 | -19 | Chris Buescher |
| 28 | 18 | -10 | Justin Haley |
| 29 | 2 | -27 | Chase Elliott |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Corey LaJoie |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | Chase Briscoe |
| 32 | 9 | -23 | Michael McDowell |
| 33 | 12 | -21 | Ross Chastain |
| 34 | 17 | -17 | William Byron |
| 35 | 24 | -11 | Brad Keselowski |
| 36 | 5 | -31 | Christopher Bell |
| 37 | 1 | -36 | Kyle Larson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 4 | 1 | — | 17 |
| Joey Logano | 1 | 4 | — | 17 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7 | 5 | — | 10 |
| Chase Elliott | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Harrison Burton | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Todd Gilliland | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Corey LaJoie | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Tyler Reddick | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Erik Jones | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Austin Dillon | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Michael McDowell | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 30 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Dillon | 21.1 | 1 | +20.1 |
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | 13.9 | 2 | +11.9 |
| 3 | Austin Cindric | 19.4 | 3 | +16.4 |
| 5 | Noah Gragson | 25.2 | 5 | +20.2 |
| 6 | Cody Ware | 25.5 | 6 | +19.5 |
| 7 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 7 | +18.5 |
| 8 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.5 | 8 | +12.5 |
| 11 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 11 | +5.9 |
| 12 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 12 | +6.5 |
| 13 | Ty Gibbs | 18.9 | 13 | +5.9 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 14 | +3.4 |
| 15 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 15 | -4.6 |
| 16 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 16 | +6.9 |
| 17 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 17 | -1.0 |
| 18 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 18 | +4.9 |
| 22 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 22 | -3.5 |
| 23 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 23 | -0.1 |
| 24 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 24 | -8.9 |
| 25 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 25 | -9.9 |
| 27 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 27 | -13.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Dillon: has 39 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P15 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P25. Track history: 19 starts, 19.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
Austin Dillon won the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 held?
The 2022 Coke Zero Sugar 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 28, 2022.