Coca-Cola 600

Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 29, 2022

Denny Hamlin
Winner
413
Laps
36
Entries
13
Leaders

Denny Hamlin won the 2022 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2022, leading 15 of 413 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 29, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 11 +10 Denny Hamlin
2 2 Kyle Busch
3 24 +21 Kevin Harvick
4 13 +9 Chase Briscoe
5 11 +6 Christopher Bell
6 16 +10 Tyler Reddick
7 19 +12 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
8 25 +17 Michael McDowell
9 4 -5 Kyle Larson
10 17 +7 Alex Bowman
11 28 +17 Harrison Burton
12 8 -4 Martin Truex, Jr.
13 27 +14 Ty Dillon
14 34 +20 Erik Jones
15 21 +6 Ross Chastain
16 29 +13 Todd Gilliland
17 12 -5 Aric Almirola
18 36 +18 Cody Ware
19 35 +16 B.J. McLeod
20 14 -6 Joey Logano
21 Justin Haley
22 Ty Dillon
23 Harrison Burton
24 Noah Gragson
25 9 -16 Daniel Suarez
26 Cody Ware
27 Kevin Harvick
28 7 -21 Bubba Wallace
29 6 -23 Ryan Blaney
30 B.J. McLeod
31 Kurt Busch
32 18 -14 William Byron
33 3 -30 Chase Elliott
34 Josh Bilicki
35 Denny Hamlin
36 Kyle Busch
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Ryan Blaney 4 2 16
Erik Jones 5 3 14
Kyle Larson 1 8 13
Daniel Suarez 3 6 13
Chase Elliott 2 7 13
William Byron 6 5 11
Kevin Harvick 8 4 10
Ross Chastain 20 1 10
Martin Truex, Jr. 7 10 5
Christopher Bell 22 9 2
Michael McDowell 10 17 1
Justin Haley
Ty Dillon
Harrison Burton
Noah Gragson
Cody Ware
Kevin Harvick
B.J. McLeod
Kurt Busch
Josh Bilicki
Denny Hamlin
Kyle Busch
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Denny Hamlin 8.2 1 +7.2
2 Kyle Busch 17.0 2 +15.0
4 Chase Briscoe 11.9 4 +7.9
5 Christopher Bell 10.7 5 +5.7
6 Tyler Reddick 6.2 6 +0.2
7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 7 +12.9
8 Michael McDowell 17.0 8 +9.0
9 Kyle Larson 12.7 9 +3.7
10 Alex Bowman 13.5 10 +3.5
12 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 12 +3.4
13 Ty Dillon 23.4 13 +10.4
14 Erik Jones 16.7 14 +2.7
15 Ross Chastain 13.3 15 -1.7
16 Todd Gilliland 19.1 16 +3.1
18 Cody Ware 56.1 18 +38.1
19 B.J. McLeod 24.8 19 +5.8
20 Joey Logano 14.7 20 -5.3
21 Justin Haley 19.9 21 -1.1
24 Noah Gragson 21.4 24 -2.6
25 Daniel Suarez 14.0 25 -11.0

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin: has 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P18 vs predicted P56. Track history: 8 starts, 23.0 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 Coca-Cola 600?
Denny Hamlin won the 2022 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2022 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2022 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2022.