NASCAR Truck Series at Sonoma
Sonoma Raceway — June 11, 2022
Kyle Busch
Winner
75
Laps
36
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on June 11, 2022, leading 45 of 75 laps. Zane Smith finished second; Ty Majeski rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Zane Smith |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Ty Majeski |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Ross Chastain |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Chandler Smith |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Carson Hocevar |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Parker Kligerman |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Grant Enfinger |
| 12 | 23 | +11 | Harrison Burton |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | Tanner Gray |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Kaz Grala |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Chase Purdy |
| 16 | 28 | +12 | Jack Wood |
| 17 | 16 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Ben Rhodes |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Colby Howard |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Todd Bodine |
| 21 | 29 | +8 | Blaine Perkins |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Brad Perez |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | Spencer Boyd |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Dean Thompson |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Lawless Alan |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Kris Wright |
| 27 | 15 | -12 | Derek Kraus |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | Timmy Hill |
| 29 | 6 | -23 | Alex Bowman |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 31 | 10 | -21 | Stewart Friesen |
| 32 | 9 | -23 | Hailie Deegan |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Jade Buford |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Matt Crafton |
| 35 | 18 | -17 | Christian Eckes |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Stefan Parsons |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zane Smith | 25.7 | 2 | +23.7 |
| 4 | Ross Chastain | 16.2 | 4 | +12.2 |
| 6 | Carson Hocevar | 21.4 | 6 | +15.4 |
| 8 | John Hunter Nemechek | 25.7 | 8 | +17.7 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 21.4 | 17 | +4.4 |
| 27 | Derek Kraus | 20.8 | 27 | -6.2 |
| 28 | Timmy Hill | 20.8 | 28 | -7.2 |
| 29 | Alex Bowman | 16.7 | 29 | -12.3 |
| 30 | Josh Bilicki | 29.0 | 30 | -1.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 10 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 11.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 16.4 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
- Zane Smith: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P26. Track history: 4 starts, 17.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Sonoma?
Kyle Busch won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Sonoma held?
The 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Sonoma was held at Sonoma Raceway on June 11, 2022.