Daytona 500

Daytona International Speedway — February 20, 2022

Austin Cindric
Winner
201
Laps
39
Entries
13
Leaders

Austin Cindric won the 2022 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway on February 20, 2022, leading 21 of 201 laps. Bubba Wallace finished second; Chase Briscoe rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, February 20, 2022
Season
2022
Leaders
13 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 5 +4 Austin Cindric
2 16 +14 Bubba Wallace
3 9 +6 Chase Briscoe
4 7 +3 Ryan Blaney
5 38 +33 Aric Almirola
6 10 +4 Kyle Busch
7 6 -1 Michael McDowell
8 34 +26 David Ragan
9 3 -6 Brad Keselowski
10 11 +1 Chase Elliott
11 26 +15 Ty Dillon
12 33 +21 Daniel Hemric
13 14 +1 Martin Truex, Jr.
14 24 +10 Corey LaJoie
15 27 +12 Landon Cassill
16 4 -12 Chris Buescher
17 32 +15 Cody Ware
18 21 +3 Daniel Suarez
19 17 -2 Kurt Busch
20 31 +11 Cole Custer
21 20 -1 Joey Logano
22 Cole Custer
23 Erik Jones
24 Ty Dillon
25 36 +11 Austin Dillon
26 Bubba Wallace
27 A.J. Allmendinger
28 18 -10 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
29 13 -16 Erik Jones
30 Michael McDowell
31 Corey LaJoie
32 1 -31 Kyle Larson
33 J.J. Yeley
34 B.J. McLeod
35 Kurt Busch
36 Cody Ware
37 Greg Biffle
38 23 -15 William Byron
39 8 -31 Harrison Burton
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Martin Truex, Jr. 1 1 20
Brad Keselowski 2 4 16
Joey Logano 5 2 15
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 4 5 13
Bubba Wallace 18 3 8
Austin Cindric 19 6 5
Austin Dillon 6 29 5
Chris Buescher 33 7 4
Kurt Busch 7 17 4
Kyle Larson 9 9 4
Erik Jones 8 12 3
Chase Elliott 10 20 1
Cole Custer
Erik Jones
Ty Dillon
Bubba Wallace
A.J. Allmendinger
Michael McDowell
Corey LaJoie
J.J. Yeley
B.J. McLeod
Kurt Busch
Cody Ware
Greg Biffle
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 24 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Austin Cindric 20.1 1 +19.1
2 Bubba Wallace 16.0 2 +14.0
3 Chase Briscoe 21.7 3 +18.7
4 Ryan Blaney 13.9 4 +9.9
6 Kyle Busch 15.1 6 +9.1
7 Michael McDowell 20.0 7 +13.0
9 Brad Keselowski 16.0 9 +7.0
10 Chase Elliott 10.4 10 +0.4
11 Ty Dillon 21.1 11 +10.1
13 Martin Truex, Jr. 20.1 13 +7.1
14 Corey LaJoie 23.3 14 +9.3
16 Chris Buescher 13.6 16 -2.4
17 Cody Ware 27.9 17 +10.9
18 Daniel Suarez 15.1 18 -2.9
20 Cole Custer 23.4 20 +3.4
21 Joey Logano 20.5 21 -0.5
23 Erik Jones 18.5 23 -4.5
25 Austin Dillon 23.4 25 -1.6
27 A.J. Allmendinger 20.1 27 -6.9
28 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 28 -9.5

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Austin Cindric: has 20 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.6 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P10 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 Daytona 500?
Austin Cindric won the 2022 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2022 Daytona 500 held?
The 2022 Daytona 500 was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 20, 2022.