Food City Dirt Race
Bristol Motor Speedway, April 17, 2022
Kyle Busch
Winner
250
Laps
36
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2022 Food City Dirt Race at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 17, 2022, leading 1 of 250 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 17, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Tyler Reddick |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Alex Bowman |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Christopher Bell |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Michael McDowell |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Ty Dillon |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Daniel Suarez |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Cole Custer |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Justin Haley |
| 15 | 15 | — | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Austin Cindric |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Todd Gilliland |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | William Byron |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Harrison Burton |
| 21 | 30 | +9 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 22 | 4 | -18 | Chase Briscoe |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Aric Almirola |
| 24 | 14 | -10 | Erik Jones |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Josh Williams |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Cody Ware |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Noah Gragson |
| 28 | 22 | -6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 12 | -19 | Austin Dillon |
| 32 | 13 | -19 | Kurt Busch |
| 33 | 33 | — | Ross Chastain |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 36 | 27 | -9 | Justin Allgaier |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 6 | — | 15 |
| Kyle Busch | 5 | 5 | — | 12 |
| Chase Briscoe | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Ty Dillon | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Chase Elliott | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Austin Dillon | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Alex Bowman | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Tyler Reddick | 8 | 10 | — | 4 |
| Ryan Blaney | 9 | 9 | — | 4 |
| Michael McDowell | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Williams | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Allgaier | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 30 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | 12.0 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 4 | +6.3 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 8.3 | 7 | +1.3 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 8 | +1.9 |
| 9 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 9 | +6.6 |
| 10 | Ty Dillon | 23.1 | 10 | +13.1 |
| 11 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 11 | +2.8 |
| 12 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Cole Custer | 22.1 | 13 | +9.1 |
| 14 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 14 | +7.2 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 15 | -3.0 |
| 16 | Austin Cindric | 14.0 | 16 | -2.0 |
| 17 | Todd Gilliland | 17.7 | 17 | +0.7 |
| 18 | William Byron | 10.8 | 18 | -7.2 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 19 | +5.9 |
| 21 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 21 | -7.0 |
| 22 | Chase Briscoe | 8.6 | 22 | -13.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 76 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (20 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P10 vs predicted P23. Track history: 33 starts, 18.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Food City Dirt Race?
Kyle Busch won the 2022 Food City Dirt Race at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2022 Food City Dirt Race held?
The 2022 Food City Dirt Race was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 17, 2022.