FireKeepers Casino 400
Michigan International Speedway — August 7, 2022
Kevin Harvick
Winner
200
Laps
37
Entries
10
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway on August 7, 2022, leading 38 of 200 laps. Bubba Wallace finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 7, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | +24 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 17 | +15 | Bubba Wallace |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Kyle Larson |
| 8 | 23 | +15 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | — | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | William Byron |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 32 | +18 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 15 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Chris Buescher |
| 17 | 28 | +11 | Justin Haley |
| 18 | — | — | Austin Hill |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 4 | -16 | Chase Briscoe |
| 21 | — | — | Cole Custer |
| 22 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 23 | 35 | +12 | B.J. McLeod |
| 24 | 18 | -6 | Ross Chastain |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Daniel Suarez |
| 26 | 1 | -25 | Christopher Bell |
| 27 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 28 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 29 | — | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 30 | — | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 31 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 32 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 33 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 34 | — | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 35 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 36 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 37 | — | — | Ty Gibbs |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Chastain | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| William Byron | 2 | 4 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | 3 | — | 13 |
| Alex Bowman | 1 | 19 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 9 | — | 9 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 16 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 14 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | 36 | — | 4 |
| Kevin Harvick | 11 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Chase Briscoe | 8 | 35 | — | 3 |
| Bubba Wallace | 20 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Christopher Bell | 10 | 31 | — | 1 |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Allgaier | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 8 | +8.7 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 9 | +4.5 |
| 10 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 10 | +4.5 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 11 | -3.2 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.7 | 12 | -1.3 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 15 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 15 | -3.8 |
| 16 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 16 | -6.8 |
| 17 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 18 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 20 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 20 | -8.1 |
| 21 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 21 | +1.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 59 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 11.0 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P28 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P32 vs predicted P56. Track history: 4 starts, 28.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 held?
The 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 7, 2022.