NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — February 19, 2022
Austin Hill
Winner
120
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders
Austin Hill won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2022, leading 23 of 120 laps. A.J. Allmendinger finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 19, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Austin Hill |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Riley Herbst |
| 5 | 17 | +12 | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Sheldon Creed |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 8 | 19 | +11 | Ryan Sieg |
| 9 | 31 | +22 | Josh Bilicki |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Brandon Brown |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Ty Gibbs |
| 12 | 38 | +26 | Ryan Truex |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | J.J. Yeley |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Landon Cassill |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Josh Berry |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Brandon Jones |
| 18 | 8 | -10 | Ryan Vargas |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Jeb Burton |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Bayley Currey |
| 21 | 36 | +15 | Kyle Sieg |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | Myatt Snider |
| 23 | 3 | -20 | Jade Buford |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 25 | 18 | -7 | Matt Mills |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Joey Gase |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Jesse Iwuji |
| 28 | 1 | -27 | Daniel Hemric |
| 29 | 29 | — | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Sam Mayer |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | Josh Williams |
| 32 | 23 | -9 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Shane Lee |
| 34 | 5 | -29 | Brett Moffitt |
| 35 | 26 | -9 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 36 | 12 | -24 | Drew Dollar |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 38 | 22 | -16 | Caesar Bacarella |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 14.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 1 | +23.0 |
| 2 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 2 | +18.1 |
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 24.0 | 3 | +21.0 |
| 4 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 5 | +16.1 |
| 7 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 7 | +16.7 |
| 9 | Josh Bilicki | 25.5 | 9 | +16.5 |
| 11 | Ty Gibbs | 22.9 | 11 | +11.9 |
| 12 | Ryan Truex | 20.5 | 12 | +8.5 |
| 13 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 13 | +12.2 |
| 16 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 16 | +8.0 |
| 26 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 26 | -2.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Hill: has 18 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- A.J. Allmendinger: was the model’s top pick based on 38 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 19.7 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona?
Austin Hill won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2022.