Goodyear 400

Darlington Raceway, May 14, 2023

William Byron
Winner
295
Laps
36
Entries
8
Leaders

William Byron won the 2023 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway on May 14, 2023, leading 7 of 295 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 14, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 4 +3 William Byron
2 20 +18 Kevin Harvick
3 21 +18 Chase Elliott
4 10 +6 Brad Keselowski
5 2 -3 Bubba Wallace
6 14 +8 Harrison Burton
7 12 +5 Kyle Busch
8 22 +14 Justin Haley
9 11 +2 Ryan Blaney
10 27 +17 Chris Buescher
11 24 +13 Todd Gilliland
12 8 -4 Denny Hamlin
13 3 -10 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
14 16 +2 Christopher Bell
15 32 +17 Ryan Preece
16 13 -3 Ty Gibbs
17 31 +14 Chase Briscoe
18 15 -3 Joey Logano
19 25 +6 Austin Cindric
20 7 -13 Kyle Larson
21 17 -4 Aric Almirola
22 9 -13 Tyler Reddick
23 30 +7 A.J. Allmendinger
24 34 +10 Corey LaJoie
25 28 +3 Erik Jones
26 29 +3 Noah Gragson
27 33 +6 Ty Dillon
28 26 -2 Ryan Newman
29 5 -24 Ross Chastain
30 23 -7 Josh Berry
31 1 -30 Martin Truex, Jr.
32 35 +3 B.J. McLeod
33 19 -14 Michael McDowell
34 6 -28 Daniel Suarez
35 18 -17 Austin Dillon
36 36 Brennan Poole
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Ross Chastain 4 1 17
William Byron 2 4 16
Kyle Busch 5 2 15
Brad Keselowski 6 5 11
Martin Truex, Jr. 1 10 11
Bubba Wallace 3 8
Kyle Larson 3 8
Kevin Harvick 8 7 7
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 7 9 6
Christopher Bell 10 6 6
Ryan Blaney 8 3
Tyler Reddick 9 2
Chase Elliott
Harrison Burton
Justin Haley
Chris Buescher
Todd Gilliland
Denny Hamlin
Ryan Preece
Ty Gibbs
Chase Briscoe
Joey Logano
Austin Cindric
Aric Almirola
A.J. Allmendinger
Corey LaJoie
Erik Jones
Noah Gragson
Ty Dillon
Ryan Newman
Josh Berry
B.J. McLeod
Michael McDowell
Daniel Suarez
Austin Dillon
Brennan Poole
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.3 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 William Byron 10.7 1 +9.7
3 Chase Elliott 10.1 3 +7.1
4 Brad Keselowski 15.4 4 +11.4
5 Bubba Wallace 12.7 5 +7.7
8 Justin Haley 20.9 8 +12.9
9 Ryan Blaney 8.2 9 -0.8
10 Chris Buescher 9.2 10 -0.8
11 Todd Gilliland 19.1 11 +8.1
12 Denny Hamlin 6.2 12 -5.8
13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 13 +6.9
14 Christopher Bell 9.2 14 -4.8
15 Ryan Preece 13.3 15 -1.7
16 Ty Gibbs 10.7 16 -5.3
17 Chase Briscoe 7.8 17 -9.2
18 Joey Logano 11.9 18 -6.1
19 Austin Cindric 15.4 19 -3.6
20 Kyle Larson 13.1 20 -6.9
22 Tyler Reddick 11.2 22 -10.8
23 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 23 -5.9
24 Corey LaJoie 22.2 24 -1.8

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • William Byron: has 19 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.5 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
  • Justin Haley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P21. Track history: 15 starts, 16.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 Goodyear 400?
William Byron won the 2023 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2023 Goodyear 400 held?
The 2023 Goodyear 400 was held at Darlington Raceway on May 14, 2023.