AdventHealth 400
Kansas Speedway — May 7, 2023
Denny Hamlin
Winner
267
Laps
37
Entries
12
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 7, 2023, leading 34 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 15 | +13 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 32 | +29 | William Byron |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Bubba Wallace |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 33 | +26 | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 9 | 35 | +26 | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 28 | +18 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Ryan Blaney |
| 17 | 5 | -12 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 29 | +11 | Justin Haley |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | Corey LaJoie |
| 21 | — | — | Jenson Button |
| 22 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 23 | — | — | Josh Bilicki |
| 24 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 25 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 26 | 26 | — | Michael McDowell |
| 27 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 28 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 29 | — | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 30 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 31 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 32 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 33 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 34 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 35 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 36 | 1 | -35 | Christopher Bell |
| 37 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Chastain | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Daniel Suarez | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Joey Logano | 7 | 3 | — | 12 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 | 6 | — | 11 |
| Kevin Harvick | 8 | 4 | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 29 | — | 9 |
| William Byron | 6 | 14 | — | 5 |
| Chase Elliott | 10 | 7 | — | 5 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 9 | 28 | — | 2 |
| Brad Keselowski | 34 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Corey LaJoie | 12 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Jenson Button | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 24 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.7 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 4 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 4 | +8.7 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 5 | +8.3 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 6 | +8.7 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 7 | +0.8 |
| 8 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 8 | +7.4 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 15 | -1.0 |
| 16 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 16 | -6.8 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 17 | -7.8 |
| 18 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 19 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 19 | -7.8 |
| 20 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 20 | +2.2 |
| 23 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 23 | +5.6 |
| 25 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 25 | -3.6 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 42 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
- Kyle Larson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P13. Track history: 24 starts, 11.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 AdventHealth 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 AdventHealth 400 held?
The 2023 AdventHealth 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 7, 2023.