Crayon 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway, July 17, 2023
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
301
Laps
36
Entries
9
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2023 Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2023, leading 254 of 301 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, July 17, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 6 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 7 | 20 | +13 | Denny Hamlin |
| 8 | 8 | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Austin Dillon |
| 10 | 27 | +17 | Chase Briscoe |
| 11 | 30 | +19 | Erik Jones |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Michael McDowell |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Daniel Suarez |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Harrison Burton |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Todd Gilliland |
| 22 | 5 | -17 | Ryan Blaney |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Ross Chastain |
| 24 | 7 | -17 | William Byron |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Austin Cindric |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Ty Dillon |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Ty Gibbs |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | Ryan Preece |
| 29 | 1 | -28 | Christopher Bell |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Ryan Newman |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | 29 | -3 | Noah Gragson |
| 33 | 24 | -9 | Corey LaJoie |
| 34 | 3 | -31 | Aric Almirola |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 36 | 10 | -26 | Kyle Busch |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | 3 | — | 10 |
| Tyler Reddick | 3 | 9 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 5 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| William Byron | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Aric Almirola | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Christopher Bell | 6 | 10 | — | 6 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Daniel Suarez | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Michael McDowell | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 5 | +8.8 |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 12.0 | 6 | +6.0 |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 8 | +4.6 |
| 9 | Austin Dillon | 17.7 | 9 | +8.7 |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 8.6 | 10 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 11 | +6.7 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 12 | -2.1 |
| 13 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 13 | +2.6 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 15 | -3.0 |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 16 | -2.0 |
| 17 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 17 | +4.2 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.4 | 18 | +2.4 |
| 19 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 19 | +1.1 |
| 21 | Todd Gilliland | 17.7 | 21 | -3.3 |
| 22 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 22 | -15.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 27 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 11.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 34 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 Crayon 301?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2023 Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 Crayon 301 held?
The 2023 Crayon 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2023.