Crayon 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 17, 2023
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
301
Laps
36
Entries
9
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2023 Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2023, leading 254 of 301 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, July 17, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | +30 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 18 | +15 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 5 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 8 | 19 | +11 | Bubba Wallace |
| 9 | 28 | +19 | Austin Dillon |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Erik Jones |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Michael McDowell |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Justin Haley |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 20 | 32 | +12 | Harrison Burton |
| 21 | — | — | Justin Haley |
| 22 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 23 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | William Byron |
| 25 | — | — | Todd Gilliland |
| 26 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 27 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 28 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 29 | 1 | -28 | Christopher Bell |
| 30 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 31 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
| 32 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 33 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 34 | 10 | -24 | Aric Almirola |
| 35 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 36 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Kyle Larson | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Tyler Reddick | 2 | 4 | — | 16 |
| Erik Jones | 13 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 12 | — | 7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | 9 | — | 7 |
| William Byron | 16 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Chase Elliott | 7 | 11 | — | 4 |
| Austin Dillon | 22 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Christopher Bell | 8 | 23 | — | 3 |
| Chris Buescher | 9 | 13 | — | 2 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 33 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | 28 | — | 1 |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 24 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 1 | +12.8 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 5 | +7.0 |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 8 | +6.0 |
| 9 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 9 | +8.0 |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 10 | +2.6 |
| 11 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 11 | +6.7 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 12 | -3.7 |
| 13 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 15 | -4.7 |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 17 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 17 | +4.2 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 18 | +2.1 |
| 19 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 19 | -0.7 |
| 22 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 22 | +2.9 |
| 24 | William Byron | 10.3 | 24 | -13.7 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 28 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 12.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 Crayon 301?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2023 Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 Crayon 301 held?
The 2023 Crayon 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2023.