Daytona 500

Daytona International Speedway, February 19, 2023

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
212
Laps
40
Entries
21
Leaders

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2023 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2023, leading 10 of 212 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 21 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, February 19, 2023
Season
2023
Leaders
21 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 31 +30 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2 3 +1 Joey Logano
3 5 +2 Christopher Bell
4 9 +5 Chris Buescher
5 1 -4 Alex Bowman
6 29 +23 A.J. Allmendinger
7 24 +17 Daniel Suarez
8 7 -1 Ryan Blaney
9 23 +14 Ross Chastain
10 38 +28 Riley Herbst
11 40 +29 Travis Pastrana
12 13 +1 Kevin Harvick
13 17 +4 Zane Smith
14 35 +21 Cody Ware
15 16 +1 Martin Truex, Jr.
16 12 -4 Corey LaJoie
17 18 +1 Denny Hamlin
18 2 -16 Kyle Larson
19 36 +17 Kyle Busch
20 15 -5 Bubba Wallace
21 4 -17 Aric Almirola
22 10 -12 Brad Keselowski
23 6 -17 Austin Cindric
24 22 -2 Noah Gragson
25 33 +8 Ty Gibbs
26 19 -7 Harrison Burton
27 14 -13 Todd Gilliland
28 11 -17 Michael McDowell
29 34 +5 Conor Daly
30 32 +2 B.J. McLeod
31 39 +8 Jimmie Johnson
32 28 -4 Justin Haley
33 27 -6 Austin Dillon
34 21 -13 William Byron
35 30 -5 Chase Briscoe
36 20 -16 Ryan Preece
37 25 -12 Erik Jones
38 8 -30 Chase Elliott
39 26 -13 Tyler Reddick
40 37 -3 Ty Dillon
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Chris Buescher 3 9 10
Ross Chastain 1 10
Brad Keselowski 1 10
Alex Bowman 2 9
Ryan Preece 2 9
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3 8
Joey Logano 4 7
Kevin Harvick 4 7
Martin Truex, Jr. 9 6 7
Austin Cindric 5 6
Michael McDowell 5 6
Ty Gibbs 6 5
Jimmie Johnson 7 4
William Byron 7 4
A.J. Allmendinger 8 3
Aric Almirola 8 3
Christopher Bell 10 1
Todd Gilliland 10 1
Daniel Suarez
Ryan Blaney
Riley Herbst
Travis Pastrana
Zane Smith
Cody Ware
Corey LaJoie
Denny Hamlin
Kyle Larson
Kyle Busch
Bubba Wallace
Noah Gragson
Harrison Burton
Conor Daly
B.J. McLeod
Justin Haley
Austin Dillon
Chase Briscoe
Erik Jones
Chase Elliott
Tyler Reddick
Ty Dillon
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 34 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 1 +17.5
2 Joey Logano 18.5 2 +16.5
3 Christopher Bell 15.1 3 +12.1
4 Chris Buescher 13.6 4 +9.6
5 Alex Bowman 17.4 5 +12.4
6 A.J. Allmendinger 22.9 6 +16.9
7 Daniel Suarez 15.1 7 +8.1
8 Ryan Blaney 10.4 8 +2.4
9 Ross Chastain 16.0 9 +7.0
10 Riley Herbst 24.0 10 +14.0
13 Zane Smith 23.4 13 +10.4
14 Cody Ware 25.5 14 +11.5
15 Martin Truex, Jr. 20.5 15 +5.5
16 Corey LaJoie 23.3 16 +7.3
17 Denny Hamlin 15.1 17 -1.9
18 Kyle Larson 20.1 18 +2.1
20 Bubba Wallace 16.9 20 -3.1
22 Brad Keselowski 18.5 22 -3.5
23 Austin Cindric 19.4 23 -3.6
24 Noah Gragson 25.2 24 +1.2

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 33 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 19.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P8 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 Daytona 500?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2023 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway driving for JTG Daugherty Racing.
Where was the 2023 Daytona 500 held?
The 2023 Daytona 500 was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2023.