Daytona 500
Daytona International Speedway — February 19, 2023
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
212
Laps
37
Entries
21
Leaders
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2023 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2023, leading 10 of 212 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 21 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, February 19, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
21 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | +30 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Christopher Bell |
| 4 | 9 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Alex Bowman |
| 6 | 29 | +23 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 7 | 24 | +17 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 9 | 23 | +14 | Ross Chastain |
| 10 | 38 | +28 | Riley Herbst |
| 11 | 40 | +29 | Travis Pastrana |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 13 | 17 | +4 | Zane Smith |
| 14 | 35 | +21 | Cody Ware |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Corey LaJoie |
| 16 | 16 | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 18 | 2 | -16 | Kyle Larson |
| 19 | 36 | +17 | Kyle Busch |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 21 | 4 | -17 | Aric Almirola |
| 22 | 10 | -12 | Brad Keselowski |
| 23 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 24 | — | — | William Byron |
| 25 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 26 | 19 | -7 | Harrison Burton |
| 27 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 28 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
| 29 | — | — | Justin Haley |
| 30 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 31 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 32 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 33 | — | — | Anthony Alfredo |
| 34 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 35 | 30 | -5 | Chase Briscoe |
| 36 | 20 | -16 | Ryan Preece |
| 37 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Buescher | 3 | 9 | — | 10 |
| Ross Chastain | 28 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Brad Keselowski | 1 | 18 | — | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | 29 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Ryan Preece | 2 | 16 | — | 9 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 24 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Joey Logano | 18 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 15 | — | 7 |
| Corey LaJoie | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | 33 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Aric Almirola | 8 | 13 | — | 3 |
| Christopher Bell | 26 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 1 | +17.5 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 17.4 | 3 | +14.4 |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 4 | +9.6 |
| 5 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 5 | +10.1 |
| 6 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 6 | +14.1 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 7 | +8.1 |
| 8 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 8 | +5.9 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 9 | +8.4 |
| 10 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 10 | +13.7 |
| 13 | Zane Smith | 22.9 | 13 | +9.9 |
| 14 | Cody Ware | 27.9 | 14 | +13.9 |
| 15 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 15 | +8.3 |
| 16 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.1 | 16 | +4.1 |
| 17 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 17 | -1.0 |
| 18 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 18 | +0.5 |
| 19 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 19 | -3.9 |
| 20 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 20 | -4.0 |
| 22 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 22 | -6.0 |
| 24 | William Byron | 13.9 | 24 | -10.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 31 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 18.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chris Buescher: was the model’s top pick based on 25 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.
- Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P21. Track history: 44 starts, 15.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 Daytona 500?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2023 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway driving for JTG Daugherty Racing.
Where was the 2023 Daytona 500 held?
The 2023 Daytona 500 was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 19, 2023.