South Point 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway, October 15, 2023
Kyle Larson
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2023 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 15, 2023, leading 133 of 267 laps. Christopher Bell finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 15, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Christopher Bell |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | William Byron |
| 8 | 8 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Chris Buescher |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Aric Almirola |
| 15 | 36 | +21 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Kevin Harvick |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Michael McDowell |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Austin Dillon |
| 19 | 28 | +9 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | Harrison Burton |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Justin Haley |
| 23 | 19 | -4 | Austin Cindric |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Ryan Preece |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Todd Gilliland |
| 28 | 23 | -5 | Erik Jones |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Brennan Poole |
| 31 | 31 | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | 35 | +3 | Chase Elliott |
| 33 | 17 | -16 | Chase Briscoe |
| 34 | 11 | -23 | Ty Gibbs |
| 35 | 14 | -21 | Alex Bowman |
| 36 | 25 | -11 | Carson Hocevar |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Christopher Bell | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 4 | — | 11 |
| Ross Chastain | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Tyler Reddick | 4 | 9 | — | 9 |
| Ryan Blaney | 6 | 8 | — | 8 |
| Kyle Busch | 8 | 7 | — | 7 |
| William Byron | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Kevin Harvick | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 32 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 2 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 5 | +9.5 |
| 6 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 7 | William Byron | 10.7 | 7 | +3.7 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 8 | +3.2 |
| 9 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 9 | +6.4 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 10 | -3.8 |
| 11 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 12 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 13 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 13 | -0.3 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 15 | -2.3 |
| 17 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 17 | -0.1 |
| 18 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 21 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 21 | -3.9 |
| 22 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 22 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 23 | -7.6 |
| 24 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 24 | -1.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 25 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 8.7 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P10 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 South Point 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2023 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2023 South Point 400 held?
The 2023 South Point 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 15, 2023.