4EVER 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway — October 22, 2023
Christopher Bell
Winner
267
Laps
24
Entries
9
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2023 4EVER 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 22, 2023, leading 26 of 267 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 22, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | +20 | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 17 | +15 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | William Byron |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 6 | 28 | +22 | Bubba Wallace |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Ty Gibbs |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 32 | +23 | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 27 | +17 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Austin Cindric |
| 13 | 33 | +20 | Ryan Preece |
| 14 | 22 | +8 | Erik Jones |
| 15 | — | — | Chase Elliott |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Daniel Suarez |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 18 | 2 | -16 | Kyle Busch |
| 19 | 1 | -18 | Alex Bowman |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Corey LaJoie |
| 28 | 24 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 30 | 11 | -19 | Denny Hamlin |
| 34 | 9 | -25 | Kyle Larson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Byron | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Christopher Bell | 8 | 2 | — | 12 |
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 8 | — | 12 |
| Denny Hamlin | 17 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 9 | — | 9 |
| Alex Bowman | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Brad Keselowski | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 14 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 15 | — | 6 |
| Tyler Reddick | 6 | 24 | — | 5 |
| Ty Gibbs | 18 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Chase Briscoe | 10 | 14 | — | 1 |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 1 | +9.7 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 3 | +3.2 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 5 | +13.3 |
| 6 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 7 | +7.5 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 8 | +6.7 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 12 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 12 | +3.4 |
| 13 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 13 | -2.9 |
| 14 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 14 | +2.7 |
| 15 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 15 | -7.2 |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 16 | -2.0 |
| 17 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 17 | -5.1 |
| 18 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 18 | -1.0 |
| 19 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 19 | -5.5 |
| 20 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 20 | +2.2 |
| 28 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 28 | -16.8 |
| 29 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 29 | -13.6 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 6.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
- A.J. Allmendinger: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 19 starts, 13.3 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 4EVER 400?
Christopher Bell won the 2023 4EVER 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 4EVER 400 held?
The 2023 4EVER 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 22, 2023.