4EVER 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway, October 22, 2023
Christopher Bell
Winner
267
Laps
36
Entries
9
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2023 4EVER 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 22, 2023, leading 26 of 267 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 22, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 3 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | William Byron |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Bubba Wallace |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Ty Gibbs |
| 8 | 36 | +28 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 30 | +21 | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Kevin Harvick |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | Austin Cindric |
| 13 | 29 | +16 | Ryan Preece |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Erik Jones |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Chase Briscoe |
| 18 | 18 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | Alex Bowman |
| 20 | 20 | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Chris Buescher |
| 22 | 15 | -7 | Michael McDowell |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Justin Haley |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Todd Gilliland |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | Ryan Newman |
| 27 | 23 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 28 | 4 | -24 | Brad Keselowski |
| 29 | 1 | -28 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 30 | 11 | -19 | Denny Hamlin |
| 31 | 8 | -23 | Ross Chastain |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 33 | 31 | -2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 34 | 5 | -29 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | 35 | — | Josh Bilicki |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Harrison Burton |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| William Byron | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Brad Keselowski | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Denny Hamlin | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 6 | — | 11 |
| Tyler Reddick | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| Austin Dillon | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Ty Gibbs | 10 | 8 | — | 4 |
| Christopher Bell | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Joey Logano | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 5 | +12.1 |
| 6 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 7 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 7 | +3.7 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 8 | +3.9 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| 12 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 12 | +3.4 |
| 13 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 13 | +0.3 |
| 14 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 14 | +0.7 |
| 15 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 15 | -4.9 |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 16 | -3.3 |
| 17 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 17 | -9.2 |
| 19 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 19 | -2.8 |
| 20 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 20 | +2.2 |
| 21 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 21 | -11.8 |
| 22 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 22 | -5.1 |
| 23 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 23 | -2.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 12 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P30 on the day.
- A.J. Allmendinger: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P17. Track history: 19 starts, 13.3 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 4EVER 400?
Christopher Bell won the 2023 4EVER 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 4EVER 400 held?
The 2023 4EVER 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 22, 2023.