FireKeepers Casino 400
Michigan International Speedway — August 6, 2023
Chris Buescher
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
16
Leaders
Chris Buescher won the 2023 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway on August 6, 2023, leading 52 of 200 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 6, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
16 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | +17 | Chris Buescher |
| 2 | 15 | +13 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Daniel Suarez |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Ross Chastain |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Erik Jones |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Ty Gibbs |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Austin Cindric |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Christopher Bell |
| 14 | 1 | -13 | Joey Logano |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Corey LaJoie |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 17 | 35 | +18 | Harrison Burton |
| 18 | 13 | -5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Austin Dillon |
| 20 | 33 | +13 | Ty Dillon |
| 21 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 22 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 23 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 24 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 25 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 26 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 27 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 28 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
| 29 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 31 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 32 | — | — | Josh Bilicki |
| 33 | 11 | -22 | Alex Bowman |
| 34 | — | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 35 | — | — | Carson Hocevar |
| 36 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 37 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 38 | — | — | Kevin Harvick |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 | 5 | — | 13 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Ross Chastain | 3 | 7 | — | 12 |
| Alex Bowman | 7 | 3 | — | 12 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Bubba Wallace | 8 | 6 | — | 8 |
| Brad Keselowski | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Kevin Harvick | 14 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 26 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 4 | +7.2 |
| 5 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 6 | +8.0 |
| 7 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 7 | +6.3 |
| 9 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 9 | +0.2 |
| 10 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 10 | +6.7 |
| 11 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| 12 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 12 | +3.4 |
| 13 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 13 | -2.3 |
| 14 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 14 | +0.7 |
| 15 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 15 | +7.2 |
| 18 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 18 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 19 | -1.9 |
| 20 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 20 | +3.4 |
| 21 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 21 | -4.0 |
| 22 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 22 | -2.1 |
| 25 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 25 | -8.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chris Buescher: has 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 14.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 12 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 16.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P30 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P15. Track history: 35 starts, 13.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 FireKeepers Casino 400?
Chris Buescher won the 2023 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for RFK Racing.
Where was the 2023 FireKeepers Casino 400 held?
The 2023 FireKeepers Casino 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 6, 2023.