NOCO 400
Martinsville Speedway — April 16, 2023
Kyle Larson
Winner
400
Laps
36
Entries
9
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2023 NOCO 400 at Martinsville Speedway on April 16, 2023, leading 30 of 400 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 16, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 18 | +13 | Chase Briscoe |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | Aric Almirola |
| 7 | 13 | +6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 28 | +20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 9 | 9 | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Chase Elliott |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Alex Bowman |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Ross Chastain |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Chris Buescher |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | Ryan Preece |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Christopher Bell |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Ty Gibbs |
| 19 | 33 | +14 | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 21 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 22 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 23 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 24 | 20 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 25 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 26 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
| 27 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 28 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 29 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 30 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 31 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 32 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 33 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 34 | — | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 35 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 36 | — | — | Carson Hocevar |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Chastain | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 6 | 7 | — | 9 |
| Christopher Bell | 9 | 5 | — | 8 |
| Bubba Wallace | 23 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Kyle Larson | 8 | 11 | — | 3 |
| Kevin Harvick | 18 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.7 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 5 | +7.6 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 8 | +12.1 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 9 | +5.0 |
| 10 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 10 | -1.7 |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| 13 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 13 | +0.8 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 14 | -3.7 |
| 15 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 15 | -4.2 |
| 16 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 16 | -7.4 |
| 17 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 17 | -1.4 |
| 18 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 18 | -5.4 |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 19 | -4.0 |
| 21 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 21 | +3.9 |
| 24 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 24 | -12.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 22 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 47 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (8 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P20. Track history: 25 starts, 24.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 NOCO 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2023 NOCO 400 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2023 NOCO 400 held?
The 2023 NOCO 400 was held at Martinsville Speedway on April 16, 2023.