GEICO 500
Talladega Superspeedway, April 23, 2023
Kyle Busch
Winner
196
Laps
38
Entries
21
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2023 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on April 23, 2023, leading 3 of 196 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Chris Buescher rounded out the podium. The race featured 21 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 23, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
21 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Chris Buescher |
| 4 | 4 | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 5 | 20 | +15 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Erik Jones |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | William Byron |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Christopher Bell |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 10 | 28 | +18 | Todd Gilliland |
| 11 | 38 | +27 | J.J. Yeley |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | Alex Bowman |
| 14 | 32 | +18 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 33 | +18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 17 | 1 | -16 | Denny Hamlin |
| 18 | 37 | +19 | B.J. McLeod |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Justin Haley |
| 20 | 36 | +16 | Riley Herbst |
| 21 | 11 | -10 | Kevin Harvick |
| 22 | 2 | -20 | Aric Almirola |
| 23 | 23 | — | Ross Chastain |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Austin Hill |
| 25 | 34 | +9 | Corey LaJoie |
| 26 | 15 | -11 | Austin Cindric |
| 27 | 7 | -20 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 28 | 12 | -16 | Bubba Wallace |
| 29 | 19 | -10 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 30 | 8 | -22 | Joey Logano |
| 31 | 3 | -28 | Ty Gibbs |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Noah Gragson |
| 33 | 9 | -24 | Kyle Larson |
| 34 | 16 | -18 | Ryan Preece |
| 35 | 21 | -14 | Michael McDowell |
| 36 | 25 | -11 | Harrison Burton |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Zane Smith |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Austin Dillon |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Elliott | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Aric Almirola | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ross Chastain | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| William Byron | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Kyle Larson | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Ryan Preece | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Harrison Burton | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Austin Cindric | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Noah Gragson | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Joey Logano | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Daniel Suarez | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 34 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.5 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 2 | +8.4 |
| 3 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 3 | +10.6 |
| 4 | Chase Briscoe | 20.5 | 4 | +16.5 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 18.5 | 5 | +13.5 |
| 6 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 6 | +10.0 |
| 7 | William Byron | 13.9 | 7 | +6.9 |
| 8 | Christopher Bell | 15.1 | 8 | +7.1 |
| 9 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 9 | +6.1 |
| 10 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 10 | +12.9 |
| 11 | J.J. Yeley | 25.5 | 11 | +14.5 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 13.6 | 12 | +1.6 |
| 13 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 13 | +4.4 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 14 | +8.9 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 15 | +3.5 |
| 16 | Tyler Reddick | 13.9 | 16 | -2.1 |
| 17 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 17 | -1.9 |
| 18 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 18 | +7.5 |
| 19 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 19 | +4.4 |
| 20 | Riley Herbst | 24.0 | 20 | +4.0 |
| 23 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 23 | -7.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 54 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 18.1 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 28 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Chase Briscoe: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 16 starts, 15.9 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 GEICO 500?
Kyle Busch won the 2023 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2023 GEICO 500 held?
The 2023 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 23, 2023.