Pennzoil 400

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 5, 2023

William Byron
Winner
271
Laps
36
Entries
8
Leaders

William Byron won the 2023 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 5, 2023, leading 175 of 271 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Alex Bowman rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 5, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 William Byron
2 18 +16 Kyle Larson
3 Alex Bowman
4 28 +24 Bubba Wallace
5 2 -3 Christopher Bell
6 20 +14 Austin Cindric
7 17 +10 Martin Truex, Jr.
8 25 +17 Justin Haley
9 12 +3 Kevin Harvick
10 15 +5 Daniel Suarez
11 13 +2 Denny Hamlin
12 14 +2 Ross Chastain
13 3 -10 Ryan Blaney
14 1 -13 Kyle Busch
15 7 -8 Tyler Reddick
16 19 +3 Aric Almirola
17 4 -13 Brad Keselowski
18 29 +11 A.J. Allmendinger
19 11 -8 Erik Jones
20 27 +7 Corey LaJoie
21 Kyle Busch
22 Tyler Reddick
23 William Byron
24 Brad Keselowski
25 Todd Gilliland
26 Corey LaJoie
27 A.J. Allmendinger
28 Justin Haley
29 Harrison Burton
30 Noah Gragson
31 Erik Jones
32 Ty Dillon
33 Austin Cindric
34 Zane Smith
35 Anthony Alfredo
36 26 -10 Joey Logano
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
William Byron 1 2 19
Ross Chastain 5 1 16
Ryan Blaney 3 3 16
Denny Hamlin 2 5 15
Martin Truex, Jr. 9 4 9
Brad Keselowski 4 12 7
Christopher Bell 7 10 5
Kevin Harvick 8 14 3
Tyler Reddick 12 8 3
Alex Bowman
Kyle Busch
Tyler Reddick
William Byron
Brad Keselowski
Todd Gilliland
Corey LaJoie
A.J. Allmendinger
Justin Haley
Harrison Burton
Noah Gragson
Erik Jones
Ty Dillon
Austin Cindric
Zane Smith
Anthony Alfredo
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 24 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 William Byron 10.7 1 +9.7
2 Kyle Larson 12.7 2 +10.7
3 Alex Bowman 13.5 3 +10.5
4 Bubba Wallace 12.7 4 +8.7
5 Christopher Bell 10.7 5 +5.7
6 Austin Cindric 15.4 6 +9.4
7 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 7 +8.4
8 Justin Haley 19.9 8 +11.9
10 Daniel Suarez 14.0 10 +4.0
11 Denny Hamlin 8.2 11 -2.8
12 Ross Chastain 13.3 12 +1.3
13 Ryan Blaney 9.2 13 -3.8
14 Kyle Busch 17.0 14 +3.0
15 Tyler Reddick 6.2 15 -8.8
17 Brad Keselowski 11.2 17 -5.8
18 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 18 +0.3
19 Erik Jones 16.7 19 -2.3
20 Corey LaJoie 22.2 20 +2.2
25 Todd Gilliland 19.1 25 -5.9
30 Noah Gragson 21.4 30 -8.6

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • William Byron: has 17 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P15 on the day.
  • Justin Haley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P20. Track history: 18 starts, 15.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 Pennzoil 400?
William Byron won the 2023 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2023 Pennzoil 400 held?
The 2023 Pennzoil 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 5, 2023.