HighPoint.com 400
Pocono Raceway — July 23, 2023
Denny Hamlin
Winner
498
Laps
36
Entries
9
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2023, leading 9 of 498 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | +13 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 3 | 3 | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 20 | +16 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 36 | +31 | Ty Gibbs |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 8 | 29 | +21 | Harrison Burton |
| 9 | 19 | +10 | Erik Jones |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | Chase Elliott |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 12 | 25 | +13 | Aric Almirola |
| 13 | 6 | -7 | Ross Chastain |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | William Byron |
| 15 | 32 | +17 | Todd Gilliland |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 18 | 13 | -5 | Chris Buescher |
| 19 | 7 | -12 | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 2 | -18 | Kyle Larson |
| 21 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 22 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 23 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 24 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 25 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 26 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Corey LaJoie |
| 28 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 29 | — | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 30 | 17 | -13 | Ryan Blaney |
| 31 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
| 33 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 34 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 35 | 11 | -24 | Joey Logano |
| 36 | — | — | Ryan Newman |
* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 2 | — | 13 |
| Brad Keselowski | 8 | 1 | — | 13 |
| Tyler Reddick | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Chase Elliott | 9 | 3 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 19 | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Christopher Bell | 3 | 10 | — | 9 |
| Bubba Wallace | 2 | 34 | — | 9 |
| Kevin Harvick | 10 | 4 | — | 8 |
| Ross Chastain | 4 | 24 | — | 7 |
| Erik Jones | 11 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 16 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Chris Buescher | 17 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 3 | +12.4 |
| 5 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 5 | +9.5 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 7 | +12.9 |
| 9 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 9 | +7.7 |
| 10 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 10 | -2.2 |
| 11 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 11 | +1.7 |
| 13 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 13 | +0.3 |
| 14 | William Byron | 10.7 | 14 | -3.3 |
| 15 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 16 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 16 | -4.8 |
| 17 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 18 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 18 | -8.8 |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 19 | -2.0 |
| 20 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 20 | -7.3 |
| 21 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 21 | -7.0 |
| 22 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 22 | -12.8 |
| 25 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 25 | -2.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 38 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 10.5 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.8 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P20. Track history: 19 starts, 22.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 HighPoint.com 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 at Pocono Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 held?
The 2023 HighPoint.com 400 was held at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2023.