Xfinity 500
Martinsville Speedway — October 29, 2023
Ryan Blaney
Winner
500
Laps
21
Entries
6
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2023 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway on October 29, 2023, leading 145 of 500 laps. Aric Almirola finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 29, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 19 | +17 | Aric Almirola |
| 3 | 30 | +27 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Chase Briscoe |
| 5 | 12 | +7 | Joey Logano |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Kyle Larson |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Christopher Bell |
| 8 | 28 | +20 | Chris Buescher |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Austin Cindric |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Todd Gilliland |
| 11 | 11 | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 12 | 27 | +15 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | William Byron |
| 14 | 16 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Harrison Burton |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Kevin Harvick |
| 17 | — | — | Chase Elliott |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | Ty Gibbs |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 20 | 8 | -12 | Ryan Preece |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Corey LaJoie |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Christopher Bell | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Chase Briscoe | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Ryan Preece | 4 | 33 | — | 7 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 18 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Aric Almirola | 15 | 10 | — | 1 |
| William Byron | 10 | 15 | — | 1 |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 4.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Excellent
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 3 | +3.8 |
| 4 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 4 | +8.6 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 5 | +7.1 |
| 6 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 7 | +1.6 |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 8 | +2.3 |
| 9 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 9 | +8.0 |
| 10 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 11 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 13 | William Byron | 10.3 | 13 | -2.7 |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 14 | -0.2 |
| 17 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 17 | -8.7 |
| 18 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 18 | -5.4 |
| 19 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 19 | +1.1 |
| 20 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 20 | -9.2 |
| 22 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 22 | +2.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 30 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 Xfinity 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2023 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2023 Xfinity 500 held?
The 2023 Xfinity 500 was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 29, 2023.