Food City 500

Bristol Motor Speedway, March 17, 2024

Denny Hamlin
Winner
500
Laps
36
Entries
16
Leaders

Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway on March 17, 2024, leading 163 of 500 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 17, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
16 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Denny Hamlin
2 11 +9 Martin Truex, Jr.
3 17 +14 Brad Keselowski
4 29 +25 Alex Bowman
5 10 +5 Kyle Larson
6 26 +20 John Hunter Nemechek
7 34 +27 Chris Buescher
8 5 -3 Chase Elliott
9 19 +10 Ty Gibbs
10 12 +2 Christopher Bell
11 7 -4 Michael McDowell
12 2 -10 Josh Berry
13 6 -7 Chase Briscoe
14 25 +11 Ryan Preece
15 36 +21 Ross Chastain
16 1 -15 Ryan Blaney
17 32 +15 Justin Haley
18 28 +10 Daniel Suarez
19 33 +14 Kaz Grala
20 15 -5 Erik Jones
21 18 -3 Corey LaJoie
22 4 -18 Joey Logano
23 30 +7 A.J. Allmendinger
24 31 +7 Austin Dillon
25 14 -11 Kyle Busch
26 24 -2 Todd Gilliland
27 35 +8 Carson Hocevar
28 20 -8 Daniel Hemric
29 9 -20 Bubba Wallace
30 23 -7 Tyler Reddick
31 21 -10 Austin Cindric
32 13 -19 Harrison Burton
33 27 -6 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
34 22 -12 Noah Gragson
35 8 -27 William Byron
36 16 -20 Zane Smith
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Ty Gibbs 1 1 20
Brad Keselowski 4 2 16
John Hunter Nemechek 5 4 13
Kyle Larson 2 8 12
Martin Truex, Jr. 7 6 9
Christopher Bell 8 5 9
Chris Buescher 3 8
Joey Logano 3 8
Ryan Blaney 6 5
Denny Hamlin 7 4
Ryan Preece 9 10 3
Bubba Wallace 9 2
Josh Berry 10 1
Alex Bowman
Chase Elliott
Michael McDowell
Chase Briscoe
Ross Chastain
Justin Haley
Daniel Suarez
Kaz Grala
Erik Jones
Corey LaJoie
A.J. Allmendinger
Austin Dillon
Kyle Busch
Todd Gilliland
Carson Hocevar
Daniel Hemric
Tyler Reddick
Austin Cindric
Harrison Burton
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Noah Gragson
William Byron
Zane Smith
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 32 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Denny Hamlin 6.8 1 +5.8
2 Martin Truex, Jr. 14.0 2 +12.0
3 Brad Keselowski 13.8 3 +10.8
4 Alex Bowman 15.6 4 +11.6
5 Kyle Larson 10.3 5 +5.3
6 John Hunter Nemechek 19.0 6 +13.0
7 Chris Buescher 12.0 7 +5.0
8 Chase Elliott 9.9 8 +1.9
9 Ty Gibbs 8.6 9 -0.4
10 Christopher Bell 8.3 10 -1.7
11 Michael McDowell 15.6 11 +4.6
12 Josh Berry 19.0 12 +7.0
13 Chase Briscoe 8.6 13 -4.4
14 Ryan Preece 12.6 14 -1.4
15 Ross Chastain 12.6 15 -2.4
16 Ryan Blaney 6.8 16 -9.2
17 Justin Haley 21.2 17 +4.2
18 Daniel Suarez 14.0 18 -4.0
20 Erik Jones 17.7 20 -2.3
21 Corey LaJoie 24.9 21 +3.9

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin: has 49 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish (4 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P19. Track history: 20 starts, 11.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 Food City 500?
Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2024 Food City 500 held?
The 2024 Food City 500 was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on March 17, 2024.