Goodyear 400
Darlington Raceway, May 12, 2024
Brad Keselowski
Winner
293
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2024 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway on May 12, 2024, leading 37 of 293 laps. Ty Gibbs finished second; Josh Berry rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 12, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Ty Gibbs |
| 3 | 33 | +30 | Josh Berry |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Chase Briscoe |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | William Byron |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Alex Bowman |
| 9 | 28 | +19 | Justin Haley |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Michael McDowell |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Ross Chastain |
| 12 | 31 | +19 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Christopher Bell |
| 14 | 36 | +22 | Noah Gragson |
| 15 | 15 | — | Todd Gilliland |
| 16 | 24 | +8 | Corey LaJoie |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Ryan Preece |
| 18 | 34 | +16 | Kaz Grala |
| 19 | 30 | +11 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Austin Cindric |
| 21 | 14 | -7 | Joey Logano |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Harrison Burton |
| 23 | 20 | -3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 25 | 10 | -15 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 26 | 21 | -5 | Carson Hocevar |
| 27 | 11 | -16 | Kyle Busch |
| 28 | 23 | -5 | Austin Dillon |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Derek Kraus |
| 30 | 3 | -27 | Chris Buescher |
| 31 | 22 | -9 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 32 | 1 | -31 | Tyler Reddick |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Daniel Hemric |
| 34 | 6 | -28 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | Zane Smith |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Ty Gibbs | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Tyler Reddick | 4 | 1 | — | 17 |
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Chris Buescher | 7 | 7 | — | 8 |
| William Byron | 9 | 6 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Todd Gilliland | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Bubba Wallace | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Ryan Blaney | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Ross Chastain | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Derek Kraus | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 32 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 1 | +14.4 |
| 2 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 2 | +8.7 |
| 3 | Josh Berry | 21.4 | 3 | +18.4 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 5 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 6 | William Byron | 10.7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 8 | +8.2 |
| 9 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 9 | +11.9 |
| 10 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 10 | +6.9 |
| 11 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 12 | -1.9 |
| 13 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 14 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 14 | +8.9 |
| 15 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 16 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 17 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 17 | -3.7 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 19 | -4.3 |
| 20 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 20 | -4.6 |
| 21 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 21 | -9.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 30 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.0 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.5 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
- Josh Berry: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 13 starts, 16.5 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Goodyear 400?
Brad Keselowski won the 2024 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway driving for RFK Racing.
Where was the 2024 Goodyear 400 held?
The 2024 Goodyear 400 was held at Darlington Raceway on May 12, 2024.