AdventHealth 400
Kansas Speedway, May 5, 2024
Kyle Larson
Winner
268
Laps
38
Entries
10
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2024 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 5, 2024, leading 64 of 268 laps. Chris Buescher finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 12 | +10 | Chris Buescher |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Chase Elliott |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Noah Gragson |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Michael McDowell |
| 11 | 30 | +19 | Brad Keselowski |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 29 | +16 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Todd Gilliland |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Josh Berry |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 18 | 35 | +17 | Justin Haley |
| 19 | 2 | -17 | Ross Chastain |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Tyler Reddick |
| 21 | 10 | -11 | Chase Briscoe |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Corey Heim |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | William Byron |
| 24 | 22 | -2 | Carson Hocevar |
| 25 | 16 | -9 | Austin Dillon |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Corey LaJoie |
| 27 | 27 | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Ryan Preece |
| 29 | 24 | -5 | Zane Smith |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Derek Kraus |
| 32 | 6 | -26 | Ty Gibbs |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Austin Hill |
| 34 | 11 | -23 | Joey Logano |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 36 | 31 | -5 | Harrison Burton |
| 37 | 7 | -30 | Austin Cindric |
| 38 | 19 | -19 | Jimmie Johnson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Kyle Larson | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Chris Buescher | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Ross Chastain | 2 | 9 | — | 11 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 7 | 5 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Busch | 8 | 4 | — | 10 |
| Ty Gibbs | 6 | 6 | — | 10 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Noah Gragson | 9 | 10 | — | 3 |
| Tyler Reddick | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Chase Elliott | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Corey Heim | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Derek Kraus | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 35 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 2 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 3 | +7.1 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 7 | +9.2 |
| 9 | Noah Gragson | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 10 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 10 | +6.9 |
| 11 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 13 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 13 | +5.3 |
| 14 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 14 | +5.1 |
| 15 | Josh Berry | 21.4 | 15 | +6.4 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 17 | -4.3 |
| 18 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 19 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 19 | -4.5 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 20 | -8.8 |
| 21 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 21 | -13.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 26 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P9 vs predicted P23. Track history: 15 starts, 19.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 AdventHealth 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2024 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2024 AdventHealth 400 held?
The 2024 AdventHealth 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 5, 2024.