Goodyear 400
Darlington Raceway — May 12, 2024
Brad Keselowski
Winner
319
Laps
38
Entries
10
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2024 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway on May 12, 2024, leading 37 of 319 laps. Ty Gibbs finished second; Josh Berry rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 12, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 2 | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 3 | 36 | +33 | Josh Berry |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 22 | +17 | Chase Briscoe |
| 6 | 27 | +21 | William Byron |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 8 | 8 | — | Alex Bowman |
| 9 | 23 | +14 | Justin Haley |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Michael McDowell |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Ross Chastain |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Chase Elliott |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Christopher Bell |
| 14 | 28 | +14 | Noah Gragson |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Todd Gilliland |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Corey LaJoie |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Ryan Preece |
| 18 | 40 | +22 | Kaz Grala |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Austin Cindric |
| 21 | — | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 22 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 23 | — | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 24 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 25 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 26 | 13 | -13 | Carson Hocevar |
| 27 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 28 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 29 | — | — | Corey Heim |
| 30 | 16 | -14 | Chris Buescher |
| 31 | — | — | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 32 | 4 | -28 | Tyler Reddick |
| 33 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 34 | 1 | -33 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | Ryan Blaney |
| 37 | — | — | Riley Herbst |
| 38 | — | — | Chad Finchum |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowman | 6 | 2 | — | 14 |
| Christopher Bell | 2 | 13 | — | 9 |
| Brad Keselowski | 24 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ty Gibbs | 3 | 15 | — | 8 |
| Chase Briscoe | 4 | 14 | — | 7 |
| Carson Hocevar | 17 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Kyle Larson | 5 | 39 | — | 6 |
| Noah Gragson | 26 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Bubba Wallace | 7 | 35 | — | 4 |
| Todd Gilliland | 8 | 16 | — | 3 |
| Tyler Reddick | 9 | 17 | — | 2 |
| Denny Hamlin | 23 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Corey Heim | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | — | — | — | — |
| Chad Finchum | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 2 | +12.5 |
| 3 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 3 | +19.9 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 5 | +6.9 |
| 6 | William Byron | 10.7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 8 | +5.5 |
| 9 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 9 | +10.9 |
| 10 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 10 | +7.0 |
| 11 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 11 | +2.3 |
| 12 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 13 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 13 | -2.3 |
| 14 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 14 | +7.4 |
| 15 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 15 | +4.1 |
| 16 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 17 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 17 | -6.9 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 19 | -2.3 |
| 20 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 20 | -4.6 |
| 22 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 22 | -8.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 31 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.7 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P32 on the day.
- Josh Berry: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 12 starts, 14.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Goodyear 400?
Brad Keselowski won the 2024 Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway driving for RFK Racing.
Where was the 2024 Goodyear 400 held?
The 2024 Goodyear 400 was held at Darlington Raceway on May 12, 2024.