Hollywood Casino 400
Kansas Speedway — September 29, 2024
Ross Chastain
Winner
267
Laps
24
Entries
15
Leaders
Ross Chastain won the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on September 29, 2024, leading 52 of 267 laps. William Byron finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 15 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 29, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
15 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | William Byron |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Ty Gibbs |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Alex Bowman |
| 7 | 7 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Denny Hamlin |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 28 | +18 | Zane Smith |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Chris Buescher |
| 12 | 36 | +24 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 34 | +21 | Daniel Suarez |
| 14 | 2 | -12 | Joey Logano |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Corey LaJoie |
| 16 | 33 | +17 | Ryan Preece |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Bubba Wallace |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Noah Gragson |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Kyle Busch |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Brad Keselowski |
| 25 | 10 | -15 | Tyler Reddick |
| 32 | 15 | -17 | Carson Hocevar |
| 37 | 37 | — | J.J. Yeley |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 9 | — | 11 |
| Denny Hamlin | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Chris Buescher | 14 | 6 | — | 5 |
| William Byron | 4 | 4 | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | 6 | 1 | — | — |
| Joey Logano | 1 | 3 | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | 7 | 10 | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 23 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 1 | +12.3 |
| 2 | William Byron | 10.7 | 2 | +8.7 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 3 | +12.4 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 5 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 5 | +9.5 |
| 6 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 6 | +7.5 |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 7 | +3.7 |
| 8 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 8 | +0.2 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 10 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 10 | +9.1 |
| 11 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 13 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 14 | +0.7 |
| 15 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 15 | +7.2 |
| 16 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 16 | -5.9 |
| 17 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 17 | -4.3 |
| 18 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 18 | +3.4 |
| 19 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 19 | -2.0 |
| 22 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 22 | -10.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ross Chastain: has 27 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P25 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P15. Track history: 34 starts, 12.5 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400?
Ross Chastain won the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Trackhouse Racing.
Where was the 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2024 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on September 29, 2024.