AdventHealth 400
Kansas Speedway — May 5, 2024
Kyle Larson
Winner
268
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2024 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 5, 2024, leading 64 of 268 laps. Chris Buescher finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 3 | 28 | +25 | Chase Elliott |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 22 | +16 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | Noah Gragson |
| 10 | 1 | -9 | Michael McDowell |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Brad Keselowski |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 13 | 34 | +21 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 14 | 4 | -10 | Todd Gilliland |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Josh Berry |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 18 | 31 | +13 | Justin Haley |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Ross Chastain |
| 20 | 19 | -1 | Tyler Reddick |
| 21 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 22 | — | — | Kaz Grala |
| 23 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 24 | — | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 25 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 26 | — | — | William Byron |
| 27 | — | — | Noah Gragson |
| 28 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 29 | — | — | Justin Haley |
| 30 | — | — | Zane Smith |
| 31 | — | — | Derek Kraus |
| 32 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 33 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 34 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 35 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 36 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Kyle Larson | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Michael McDowell | 1 | 23 | — | 10 |
| Ross Chastain | 3 | 28 | — | 8 |
| Kyle Busch | 5 | 24 | — | 6 |
| Todd Gilliland | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Brad Keselowski | 24 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 7 | 27 | — | 4 |
| Bubba Wallace | 8 | 25 | — | 3 |
| Chase Elliott | 27 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Derek Kraus | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 27 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 3 | +4.8 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 6 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 7 | +6.5 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 8 | +9.0 |
| 9 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 9 | +12.4 |
| 10 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 10 | +7.0 |
| 11 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 11 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12 | -2.8 |
| 13 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 13 | +6.1 |
| 14 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 14 | +5.1 |
| 15 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 15 | +7.9 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 17 | -4.3 |
| 18 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 19 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 19 | -5.7 |
| 20 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 20 | -13.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 24 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P20 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P9 vs predicted P21. Track history: 16 starts, 20.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 AdventHealth 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2024 AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2024 AdventHealth 400 held?
The 2024 AdventHealth 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 5, 2024.